Description: This article summarizes the Society of Actuaries' Long-Term Care Insurance LTCI Section Think Tank event. This event focused on the most significant issues and trends that may impact long-term care LTC risks, care delivery and protection in the future.

Description: On May 5, 2016, the Long-Term Care Valuation (B) Work Group of National Association of Insurance Commissioners’ (NAIC’s) Health Actuarial (B) Task Force’s Long-Term Care Actuarial Working Group (LTCAWG) requested recommendations from the American Academy of Actuaries (Academy)1 and the Society of Actuaries Research Institute (SOA)2 to replace the mortality and lapse bases for statutory minimum reserves. A copy of the request is included in Appendix 1 to this report. The Academy and SOA created a Long-Term Care Valuation Work Group (Work Group) to address the request. The Work Group is chaired by Warren Jones, the Mortality Subgroup is led by Bruce Stahl, and the Lapse Subgroup is led by Bob Yee. The Work Group has provided regular updates to the LTCAWG at national meetings and provided opportunities for the LTCAWG members to ask questions regarding the work in progress. This report presents the recommended lapse tables in Appendix 3, and recommended mortality tables in Appendix 4, and describes the methodology and process in developing these tables.

Description: This research report examines functional and cognitive trends among assisted living facility residents using a sample of long-term care policyholders who are making claims on their policies.

Description: Presentation of Long-Term Care Insurance Mortality and Lapse Study presentation to NAIC Health Actuarial (B) Task Force (HATF) on November29,2021.

Description: This document is the third Intercompany Study of the Society of Actuaries Long Term Care Experience Committee. Previous reports were published January 1995 and February 2000. This report, as well as the previous two, has data gathered that dates back to 1984. Data has been combined and analyzed from eighteen organizations 21 insurers that provided information to further the knowledge of long term care insurance.

Description: This presentation is a panel discussion, session 107PD, from the 2004 Spring Meeting of the Society of Actuaries, held May 19-21 in Anaheim, CA. Research results from the National Long-Term Care Survey and other surveys of the general elderly population indicate that age-specific morbidity [functional disability] prevalence rates have dropped significantly since 1982. The panelists quantify the nature of the temporal trends in disease morbidity and functional disability, noting that what is really new in this session is looking at the joint impact of changes in disability and mortality. They illustrate the potential impact of these temporal trends on long-term care insurance LTCI pricing and valuation, and provide some guidance as to how this material can be used by LTCI actuaries. Discussion from participants is included. From the Record of Society of Actuaries, Volume 30, No. 1.

Description: The pandemic and other current events have greatly impacted the risks that individuals face during retirement. Join us to explore this topic as the results of the Society Actuaries 2021 Retirement Risk Survey are presented. Discover the findings regarding retirement concerns, preparedness and understanding individuals in the U.S. nearing retirement or those who are already retired. This marks the 11th iteration of this biennial survey completed through the SOA Research Institute’s Aging and Retirement Strategic Research Program.

Description: Author’s response to discussant comments for the 2009 Housing Wealth monograph paper, “Home Equity and At-Need Annuities—A Dynamic Long-Term Care Funding Duo”. The paper describes the prevalence of the still uninsured long-term care financial risk, and how the at-need annuity/home equity combination can address long term care needs.

Description: "Living to 100 in the time of COVID-19: A Study of Late –Life Mortality Trajectories, Leonid A. Gavrilov, Ph.D., Natalia S. Gavrilova, Ph.D., Academic Research Centers, NORC at the University of Chicago Swedish Mortality Does Not Decelerate in Recent Cohorts, or Does it? – Roland Rau, Ph. D., Professor, University of Rostock & Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany; Marcus Ebeling, Ph.D., Karin Modig, Ph.D., Associate Professor, Anders Ahlbom, Ph.D., Professor Emeritus, Karolinska Institute, Stockholm Sweden; Kai Kaufhold, Aktuar DAV, Ad Res Advanced Reinsurance Services GmbH, Cologne, Germany; Annika Ziegler, Lukas Stake, Hochschule Koblenz & Ad Res, Germany"

Description: Process risk, estimation error, model uncertainty, trend risk and catastrophe risk are the five main components of longevity risk uncertainty. In the face of this daunting uncertainty, what should the actuarial practitioner do? This session focuses on assessing model uncertainty, process risk and estimation error in mortality modeling. Besides discussing the theory behind methods for performing the assessment, presenters provide attendees with practical examples using R to help them in applying the methodologies and concepts presented.