Announcement: SOA releases passing candidate numbers for April 2024 Exam PA.

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  • An Algorithm for Computing Expected Stop-Loss Claims under a Group Life Contract
    replacement at all. If we also assume that the force of mortality is a constant for each life during the year, ... amount of insurance under certificate i and q~ the mortality rate applicable to certificate/. Because we ...

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    • Authors: William A Bailey, Hans U Gerber, L Giles, Richard S Hester, Donald A Jones, John A Mereu, Gerald J Rankin, Courtland C Smith, William J Taylor
    • Date: Oct 1972
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
    • Publication Name: Transactions of the SOA
    • Topics: Life Insurance>Group plans - Life Insurance; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Estimation methods; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • Projected Cost Analysis of Potential Medicare Pharmacy Plan Designs
    Projected Cost Analysis of Potential Medicare Pharmacy Plan Designs Research report sponsored ... cost estimates per member per month, continuance table data, and projected annual costs to the government ...

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    • Authors: Lynette Trygstad, Timothy Feeser, Corey Berger
    • Date: Jul 2003
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge; Leadership>Change management; Professional Values>Public interest representation; Results-Oriented Solutions>Actionable recommendations; Strategic Insight and Integration>Influence decisions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Problem analysis and definition
    • Topics: Economics>Health economics; Health & Disability>Public financing - Health & Disability; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Public Policy; Social Insurance>Medicare; Technology & Applications>Analytics and informatics
  • A Method for Determining Confidence Intervals for Trend
    accident year, we have n claims with severities t i i s Xl, X2, X3, . . . , Xn; and suppose for a later ... TRANSACTIONS, VOLUME XLIV If the given accident years are s years apart, then the annual trend might be estimated ...

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    • Authors: William A Bailey
    • Date: Oct 1992
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Transactions of the SOA
    • Topics: Health & Disability>Health insurance; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • Rainfall Insurance
    100 most expensive natural disasters during 1901-2000, Mexico accounts for seven. The losses were mostly ... 1. The actual country experience is listed in Table 1. The striking feature of the crop insurance ...

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    • Authors: Tapen Sinha, Edgard Baqueiro
    • Date: Jan 2006
    • Competency: Results-Oriented Solutions>Actionable recommendations; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Topics: Finance & Investments>Derivatives; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • Collateralized Debt Obligations: Reducing Loss or Market Risk via Mortgage Assistance
    consideration that the infusion is exogenous (i.e. from the U.S. Government), it is of interest to also consider ... trajectory (37% allowed to defaulted threshold). In Table 1, the amount infused and the percentage of pool ...

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    • Authors: Michael A Ekhaus
    • Date: Mar 2010
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge
    • Topics: Economics>Financial economics; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • Appendix F - Round 1 Future Developments - Delphi Report
    natural resources. Foreign Affairs • The U.S. reasserts and further develops its moral, political ... Collapse of US dollar as world reserve currency. • U.S. dollar weakens considerably from present levels ...

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    • Authors: Society of Actuaries
    • Date: Oct 2005
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge
    • Topics: Economics; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • Comments on Trending Methods in Automobile Insurance Ratemaking
    passenger collision insurance (1971-80) are given in Table 1 and are plotted versus year in Figure 1. On the ... be computed by substituting x = 1971,1972, •.. Table 1 gives the fitted values for years 1971-83 for ...

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    • Authors: Application Administrator
    • Date: Jan 1983
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
    • Publication Name: Actuarial Research Clearing House
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • Appendix D - Round 2 Reasons for Projections - Delphi Report
    resulting higher wages and prices for exports to the U.S. • 5. Growth in the number of elderly and concomitant ... resulting higher wages and prices for exports to the U.S. • 4. The retired baby boom generation demanding ...

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    • Authors: Society of Actuaries
    • Date: Oct 2005
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge
    • Topics: Economics; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • Appendix C - Round 1 Reasons for Projections - Delphi Report
    service based. Even more importantly the late 1990’s experience has inoculated the central bank against ... materialize if productivity growth slowed to 1970’s norms, and rising demand in developing countries led ...

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    • Authors: Society of Actuaries
    • Date: Oct 2005
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge
    • Topics: Economics; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • Appendix E - Round 2: Comments on Application of Judegmental Methods - Delphi Report
    Appendix E - Round 2: ... Respondent 7 • All Respondent 9 • Lower S&P by 100 bps. Respondent 13 • Studying ... interest rates. • Less influence – outliers on S&P 500. Respondent 9 • We need to utilize ...

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    • Authors: Society of Actuaries
    • Date: Oct 2005
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge
    • Topics: Economics; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting