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  • A Return Visit to the Sugarscape
    A Return Visit to the Sugarscape This article describes the use of artificial society modeling ... insurance policy in any year is close to recent U.S. expe- rience (about 3.4 percent) and in which the ...

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    • Authors: Ben Wolzenski
    • Date: Dec 2013
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • Forecasting & Futurism Section to Aid in Upcoming Delphi Study
    Forecasting & Futurism Section to Aid in Upcoming Delphi Study The article describes what ... Use of the Delphi Method … Forecasting Selected U.S. Economic Variables and Determining Ra- tionales ...

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    • Authors: Ben Wolzenski
    • Date: Jul 2014
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions
    • Publication Name: In The Public Interest
    • Topics: Long-term Care>Long-term care insurance; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • Understanding Autoregressive Model for Time Series
    Understanding Autoregressive Model for Time Series In this article, we are going to discuss ... Zhang, Yuanjie Michael, Jeff rey R. Russell and Ruey S. Tsay. 2001. “A nonlinear autoregressive conditional ...

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    • Authors: Dihui Lai, Bingfeng Lu
    • Date: Jun 2017
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Deterministic models; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Predictive Analytics
  • Horses for Courses
    Horses for Courses Explores the open vs. closed systems debate with regards to actuarial modeling ... reflecting interdependent decrements such as mortality, morbidity, voluntary surrenders, and lapses; ...

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    • Authors: Van Beach
    • Date: Oct 2017
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations; Leadership>Change management; Results-Oriented Solutions>Actionable recommendations; Strategic Insight and Integration>Big picture view; Strategic Insight and Integration>Strategy development; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Problem analysis and definition
    • Publication Name: CompAct
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Asset modeling; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Deterministic models; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Dynamic simulation models; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Modeling efficiency; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Simulation; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Stochastic models; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Value at risk - Modeling & Statistical Methods; Technology & Applications>Analytics and informatics; Technology & Applications>Business intelligence; Technology & Applications>Computer science; Technology & Applications>Data warehousing; Technology & Applications>Software
  • Value Based and Accountable Care: The Actuarial and Clinical Role in Building a Sustainable Model
    Value Based and Accountable Care: The Actuarial and Clinical Role in Building a Sustainable ... better, and the organizations are more capable. The table below summarizes the transitions needed to help ...

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    • Authors: Mark Bethke, James M Whisler, Amanda Holland
    • Date: May 2013
    • Competency: Leadership>Change management; Strategic Insight and Integration>Big picture view; Strategic Insight and Integration>Strategy development; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions
    • Publication Name: Health Watch
    • Topics: Health & Disability>Payment models; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Sensitivity testing; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Value at risk - Modeling & Statistical Methods; Public Policy
  • Actuarial Model Component Design
    Actuarial Model Component Design The article describes the key components of actuarial ... Component Design By William Cember and Jeffrey Yoon A s managers of risk, most actuaries are tasked with answer-ing ...

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    • Authors: Bill Cember, Jeffrey Yoon
    • Date: Nov 2017
    • Competency: Results-Oriented Solutions>Actionable recommendations; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Problem analysis and definition; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
    • Publication Name: The Modeling Platform
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Asset modeling; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Deterministic models; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Sensitivity testing; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Stochastic models