Description: The secretary of the SOA looks back over the last five years at changes in the life insurance business and the actuarial profession.

Description: Navigate a perspective on the process of developing estimates and projections of mortality rates, based on a Living to 100 paper by the teacher. Discover the approach and considerations an actuary (or others) can take to develop a mortality rate assumption for five time periods. It will describe techniques to estimate historical mortality rates from which to project future mortality rates.

Description: Mortality Model Selection and Combination in RAlternative approaches for selecting mortality models and forecasting mortality have been proposed. The usual practice is to base mortality forecasts on a single mortality model selected using in-sample goodness-of-fit measures. However, cross-validation and other alternative out-of-sample measures are increasingly being used in model selection, and model combination methods are becoming a common alternative to using a single mortality model. Such methods combine predictions from multiple mortality models to reduce model choice uncertainty and improve forecast accuracy. Explore techniques to select and combine mortality models using the freely available open source R package CoMoMo (https://github.com/kessysalvatory/CoMoMo), which extends the widely used R package StMoMo (https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=StMoMo). We will use data for the USA and other countries to discuss and demonstrate four different model combination approaches including simple model averaging, Bayesian model averaging, model confidence set, and stacked regression ensembles.

Description: This section contains book reviews on profit sharing, life insurance, genetic risks and a select current bibliography. From Transactions of Society of Actuaries 1974, Vol. 26, Pt. 1, No. 75 AB.

Description: Article describing some of the significant changes occurring in Poland after the fall of the Berlin Wall with a focus on life insurance and conversion to a private pension market.

Description: This section presents book reviews and summaries of recent publications on a variety of topics.

Description: "On the decomposition of mortality models into causes of death – Andrés M Villegas Ph.D – UNSW Australia, Madhavi Bajekal, Ph.D.,HONFIA, University of London, UK, Steven Haberman, Ph.D. – Bayes Business School, University of London, UK Forecasting cause-specific mortality rates using the insights from the cointegration analysis, Séverine Arnold, PhD, Viktoriya Glushko, Department of Actuarial Science, Faculty of Business and Economics (HEC Lausanne), University of Lausanne, Switzerland"

Description: This discussion seeks answers to the following pension trust questions: 1. What has been the mortality experience under insurance policies issued for Pension Trusts? 2. Is there a need for low-premium plans such as Ordinary Life under Pension Trusts? 3. How may Ordinary Life policies be successfully employed?

Description: Dive into the released enhancements of MIM-2021, including a run through of its purpose and evolution, during this webcast. The Mortality and Longevity Strategic Research Program plans to release these updates in October. You will leave this webcast with an understanding of how to create a mortality improvement scale using the necessary steps and tools. Learn how to use MIM-2021 through instruction and demonstration that will properly prepare you to utilize this tool. There will be time for questions where you can ask about the projection process or provide feedback.

Description: "Population Aging, Global Climate Change and Social Security – Sally Shen, Research Associate, Global Risk Institute, John A. Turner, Ph.D., Director, Pension PolicyClimate Change and Mortality Time for Actuaries to Pay Attention – Sam Gutterman. FSA, CERA, FCAS, FCA, HONFIA, MAAA"