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Appendix C - Round 1 Reasons for Projections - Delphi Report
services pushing inflation (especially for health care) higher. Respondent 5 • I think the CPI will ... acceleration will be led by the cost of medical care. The U.S. population of older people (in or near ...- Authors: Society of Actuaries
- Date: Oct 2005
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge
- Topics: Economics; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Claims Reserving when there are Negative Values in the Development Triangle
essentially the same. Also, in what follows we use direct Monte Carlo simulation as described in Appendix ... year is too cumbersome to derive. Hence we use direct simulation from the posterior distributions to ...- Authors: Enrique de Alba
- Date: Jan 2003
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Actuarial Research Clearing House
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Bayesian methods; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Rainfall Insurance
Rainfall Insurance This paper addresses rainfall insurance using financial derivatives. Usual ... payoffs for weather derivatives do not depend on direct losses suffered by the insured. (2) They give the ...- Authors: Tapen Sinha, Edgard Baqueiro
- Date: Jan 2006
- Competency: Results-Oriented Solutions>Actionable recommendations; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Topics: Finance & Investments>Derivatives; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Collateralized Debt Obligations: Reducing Loss or Market Risk via Mortgage Assistance
Collateralized Debt Obligations: Reducing Loss or Market Risk via Mortgage Assistance A research report ... till the next ``default.” Returning to the primary assumption that there is not enough capital to ...- Authors: Michael A Ekhaus
- Date: Mar 2010
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge
- Topics: Economics>Financial economics; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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A Method for Determining Confidence Intervals for Trend
A Method for Determining Confidence Intervals for Trend This paper presents a method involving ... reasons to suspect that the variance of medical care claim data may not be finite. The author's bootstrap ...- Authors: William A Bailey
- Date: Oct 1992
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Transactions of the SOA
- Topics: Health & Disability>Health insurance; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting