Description: The National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC) is in the middle of of a project to change the real-world economic scenario generator (RW ESG) prescribed for principle-based reserve and capital calculations. The presenters will provide a brief summary of the NAIC's RW ESG project and provide a general overview of RW ESGs. In addition to that, they will explain how RW ESGs impact principle-based reserve and capital levels and consider potential differences between the currently prescribed RW ESG and the proposed RW ESG.

Description: Economic Scenario Generator - Investment Section Web Series Session #1 - Fundamentals & Hot Topics This session will cover the following points: 1. Introduction: ESG Basics, What is Risk Neutral and Real World? 2. Interest Rate Modeling 3. Equity and Private Equity Modeling 4. Example use cases facing investment professionals and actuaries today

Description: Models are a staple of an insurance company's operations. However, models that are not appropriately governed may lead to underpriced products, under-funded reserves, unfairly treated customers, and potentially catastrophic operational, legal, and reputational risks. Model Risk Management (MRM), an essential component of an insurer's ERM function, needs to keep pace with the rapidly evolving model ecosystem to limit model risk and produce results that management can trust when employing company strategy. With the adoption of ASOP #56, emerging technologies, and regulatory changes such as PBR, LDTI and IFRS 17, it is increasingly important for MRM frameworks and processes to adapt, upgrade and evolve. Discuss insights on how to embed ASOP 56 into Model Risk Management (MRM) and assess the design, development, modifications, and validation of actuarial models, the advancement of analytics and technology that empower insurers for process optimization and automation, as well as the the key components, stakeholders, best practices, and strategic benefits of a comprehensive MRM framework. Go over use cases on enhancing MRM in the context of ASOP 56, technology, and model governance. Explore how automation and optimization of the MRM process will allow companies to realize the strategic benefits of MRM, ensure successful adoption of regulation changes, and the pros and cons of emerging technology on MRM. By attending the session, you will be able to: - Describe how ASOP 56 can help improve MRM processes. - Describe the key components, stakeholders, best practices, and strategic benefits of a comprehensive MRM framework. - Identify where and how to use technology to automate and optimize the MRM process. - Evaluate the impacts of emerging technology on MRM.

Description: This is the second of a two-part article introducing and elaborating an “Adaptor” strategy for ERM. Such a strategy is intended to fulfil two purposes: first, switching among four styles of risk-coping strategies in order to track qualitative changes in a business’s risk environment; and, second, to support the business in navigating with resilience through all the seasons of a business-economic cycle, i.e., of boom, bust, moderate, uncertain. This latter requires careful study of the nature of resilience, the familiar idea of bounce back, and the less familiar idea of bounce forward. Part I of our article is underpinned therefore by a supplementary document (available from https://riskviews.wordpress.com/adaptor-exceptionalism/), which addresses the issue of structural change in a business or economy. It draws heavily on ideas taken from the discipline of control engineering, as well as some from ecology, social anthropology, and economics. The entire two-part article is thus an exercise in cross-disciplinary Systems Thinking.

Description: This is the first of a two-part article introducing and elaborating an “Adaptor” strategy for ERM. Such a strategy is intended to fulfil two purposes: first, switching among four styles of risk-coping strategies in order to track qualitative changes in a business’s risk environment; and, second, to support the business in navigating with resilience through all the seasons of a business-economic cycle, i.e., of boom, bust, moderate, uncertain. This latter requires careful study of the nature of resilience, the familiar idea of bounce back, and the less familiar idea of bounce forward. Part I of our article is underpinned therefore by a supplementary document (available from https://riskviews.wordpress.com/adaptor-exceptionalism/), which addresses the issue of structural change in a business or economy. It draws heavily on ideas taken from the discipline of control engineering, as well as some from ecology, social anthropology, and economics. The entire two-part article is thus an exercise in cross-disciplinary Systems Thinking.

Description: Hear about some applications using quantile regression-derived individual and group claim distributions and how they may be used in various traditional health care modeling situations. The session will not focus on the technical use of quantile regression to obtain estimates of claim distributions, but more so is intended to focus on the uses of the distributions in actuarial modeling and the additive framework in assessing claims distributions. Presenters will show how actuaries can better assess risks by focusing on the individual- and group-specific claims distributions as opposed to traditional point-estimate-centric models.

Description: This report provides actuaries and other finance professionals with an example of running the Medicaid Unwinding model with results at the national level on projected changes in both acuity and enrollment for Medicaid and Children’s Health Insurance Program.

Description: This project models and forecasts premature cardiovascular mortality, with a focus on two main risk factors - obesity status and education attainment level. It investigates the role of obesity and education in determining age-sex-specific premature cardiovascular mortality.

Description: This report explores the behavioral factors influencing insurance purchase among Gen Z and Millennials for forward-looking purposes, leveraging a rich dataset spanning 22 markets across six continents.