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  • PBA Reserves and Capital Modeling Efficiency: Representative Scenarios and Predictive Modeling
    PBA Reserves and Capital Modeling Efficiency: Representative Scenarios and Predictive Modeling Technical paper on how to efficiently perform scenario testing for principle-based approaches.

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    • Authors: Steven Craighead
    • Date: Jun 2008
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
    • Publication Name: The Financial Reporter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Modeling efficiency
  • What’s a Moderately Adverse Interest Rate Scenario, Anyway?
    What’s a Moderately Adverse Interest Rate Scenario, Anyway? Summary of the SOA's research report Modern Deterministic Scenarios for Interest Rates, which developed interest rate scenarios ...

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    • Authors: Mark Alberts
    • Date: Dec 2017
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: The Financial Reporter
    • Topics: Financial Reporting & Accounting>Statutory accounting; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Deterministic models; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Scenario generation
  • Medicare Advantage Hierarchical Condition Categories: Targeting Chart Reviews
    Medicare Advantage Hierarchical Condition Categories: Targeting Chart Reviews Identifying and submitting all appropriate ICD-9 diagnosis codes to CMS will result in a higher risk score for the ...

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    • Authors: Corey Berger, Eric P Goetsch
    • Date: Jan 2011
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations; Results-Oriented Solutions>Actionable recommendations; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Health Watch
    • Topics: Demography; Health & Disability>Health risks; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Data mining; Social Insurance>Medicare; Technology & Applications>Analytics and informatics
  • Predictive modeling
    Predictive modeling Summary of SOA research report "Optimizing Risk Retention" which applies parametric survival models and Monte Carlo simulation to a block of term life ...

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    • Authors: Kai Kaufhold
    • Date: Nov 2016
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions
    • Publication Name: Reinsurance News
    • Topics: Life Insurance>Reserves - Life Insurance; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Simulation; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Stochastic models; Reinsurance>Life reinsurance
  • Concurrent Simulation to Explain Reinsurance Market Price Dynamics
    Concurrent Simulation to Explain Reinsurance Market Price Dynamics This article discussed modeling the P&C reinsurance market using an Agent Based Model to provide insights into the market.

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    • Authors: Donald F Mango, Jens Alkemper
    • Date: Nov 2005
    • Competency: Strategic Insight and Integration; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Risk Management
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods; Reinsurance
  • Dynamic Risk Modeling
    Dynamic Risk Modeling This article discusses the pending book entitled 'Dynamic Risk Modeling Handbook.' The proposed scope and outline of the book is reviewed. This is a revision ...

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    • Authors: James Rech
    • Date: Mar 2006
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Risk Management
    • Topics: Finance & Investments; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Dynamic simulation models
  • Chairperson talks about the activities of the section.
    Chairperson talks about the activities of the section. Chairperson talks about the activities of the section. prediction;forecast;assumptions;standards of practice 6442457424 8/1/2014 12:00:00 AM ...

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    • Authors: Society of Actuaries, Barry Franklin
    • Date: Aug 2014
    • Competency: Professional Values
    • Publication Name: Risk Management
    • Topics: Actuarial Profession>Standards of practice; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Pensions & Retirement>Assumptions and methods
  • Logistic GLM Credibility
    Logistic GLM Credibility This article summarizes a method for measuring the credibility of a prediction from a logistic generalized linear model (GLM). generalized linear model;Credibility theory ...

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    • Authors: Matthias Kullowatz
    • Date: Dec 2017
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Credibility theory
  • Mortality Improvement: Will it continue in the future or will trends reverse?
    Mortality Improvement: Will it continue in the future or will trends reverse? This summary explains the techniques used and the results from the application of futurism techniques utilized to ...

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    • Authors: Allen Klein
    • Date: Jan 2008
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • Comments on ‘The Case for Stochastic Present Values,” by Dimitry Mindlin
    Comments on ‘The Case for Stochastic Present Values,” by Dimitry Mindlin Eric Friedman’s comments on ‘The Case for Stochastic Present Values,” by Dimitry Mindlin Asset allocation;Discount rates= ...

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    • Authors: Eric S Friedman
    • Date: Jun 2010
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Pensions & Retirement>Assumptions and methods; Pensions & Retirement>Pension finance; Pensions & Retirement>Public sector plans