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Individualized Mortality Projection and Product Pricing with Laboratory and Physical Measurement Data
Individualized Mortality Projection and Product Pricing with Laboratory and Physical Measurement Data Recent advances in mortality modeling have enabled applicant-specific quantification of ...Description: Recent advances in mortality modeling have enabled applicant-specific quantification of mortality risk in life insurance applicants using laboratory and physical measurements. Relative to more conventional underwriting, this approach identifies a small population of significantly under-priced policy and a much larger, cross-subsidizing group whose risk is presently overestimated. Applicants placed in the highest percentile by this scoring methodology are more than 10X as likely to die in a given period as their demographic peers, and represent approximately 5% of short-term claims. Implications for product design are substantial in both the short- and long-term, as the possibilities for adverse selection grow, and the opportunity for fully individualized pricing raises the more distant prospect of products with as many rate classes as applicants.
Hide- Authors: Ammon Dixon, Brian Jason Lanzrath, James Palmier
- Date: Jun 2012
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial theory in business context; Leadership>Thought leadership; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Incorporate risk management
- Publication Name: Product Matters!
- Topics: Experience Studies & Data>Mortality; Finance & Investments>Risk measurement - Finance & Investments