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Mortality Improvement Rates: Modeling and Parameter Uncertainty
Mortality Improvement Rates: Modeling and Parameter Uncertainty This article proposes a framework for estimating mortality improvement models and analyzing the parameter uncertainty in such ...- Authors: Andrew Hunt, Andres Mauricio Villegas Ramirez
- Date: Jul 2017
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions
- Topics: Experience Studies & Data>Mortality; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Results of Tax Modeling Survey
Results of Tax Modeling Survey Results of survey, conducted recently by the Taxation Section of the Society of Actuaries, on how federal income tax is reflected in the projection work being ...- Authors: Steven C Chamberlin
- Date: Feb 2011
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Problem analysis and definition
- Publication Name: Taxing Times
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Asset modeling; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Pension Forecasts, Part 2: The Model Has No Clothes
Pension Forecasts, Part 2: The Model Has No Clothes Part 2 of an article which presents simplified problem and and presented alternate models. Answers are presented in this article. The ...- Authors: Lawrence N Bader
- Date: Jun 2001
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
- Publication Name: Pension Section News
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Pensions & Retirement>Assumptions and methods
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Horses for Courses
Horses for Courses Explores the open vs. closed systems debate with regards to actuarial modeling and exposes the over-simplification. Valuable for anyone who uses models. stochastic models; ...- Authors: Van Beach
- Date: Oct 2017
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations; Leadership>Change management; Results-Oriented Solutions>Actionable recommendations; Strategic Insight and Integration>Big picture view; Strategic Insight and Integration>Strategy development; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Problem analysis and definition
- Publication Name: CompAct
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Asset modeling; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Deterministic models; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Dynamic simulation models; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Modeling efficiency; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Simulation; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Stochastic models; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Value at risk - Modeling & Statistical Methods; Technology & Applications>Analytics and informatics; Technology & Applications>Business intelligence; Technology & Applications>Computer science; Technology & Applications>Data warehousing; Technology & Applications>Software
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The Actuarial Profession and Complex Models: Knowing the Limits of Our Knowledge
The Actuarial Profession and Complex Models: Knowing the Limits of Our Knowledge This article discusses steps to follow to ensure a more rational and productive approach to data analysis.- Authors: Kurt Wrobel
- Date: Jul 2012
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Dark Side Of The Moon
Dark Side Of The Moon Feature article discussing the difficult situation of actuarial forecasting with little or no date. Financial management;Modeling efficiency;Predictive modeling 4294999280 7 ...- Authors: Clark Ramsey
- Date: Jul 2013
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Cox, Ingersoll and Ross Models of Interest Rates
Cox, Ingersoll and Ross Models of Interest Rates Presented at May 2002 Spring Meeting. Our lecturer presents findings from a research project relating to the Cox, Ingersoll & Ross model ...- Authors: Peter Tilley, Wojciech Szatzschneider
- Date: May 2002
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Record of the Society of Actuaries
- Topics: Finance & Investments>Investments; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Deciding What to Research: How to Spot and Avoid Bias
Deciding What to Research: How to Spot and Avoid Bias A discussion on how to avoid bias when choosing research topics. Predictive modeling 6442473943 12/1/2016 12:00:00 AM ...- Authors: Kurt Wrobel
- Date: Dec 2016
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Claim forecasting using econometric stepwise regression
Claim forecasting using econometric stepwise regression This abstract describes a paper that discusses insurance claim forecasting using econometric stepwise regression to analyze historical ...- Authors: Andrew Loach, Eric L Vaagen
- Date: Jul 2010
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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A Practical Method of Forecasting a Life Insurance Company's Gross Operating Earnings for the Current Year
A Practical Method of Forecasting a Life Insurance Company's Gross Operating Earnings for the Current Year This paper is from Transactions of Society of Actuaries 1955 Volume 7, Number 17.- Authors: J. Barrett Walker
- Date: Mar 1955
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations
- Publication Name: Transactions of the SOA
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting