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  • Pension Forecasts, Part 2: The Model Has No Clothes
    Pension Forecasts, Part 2: The Model Has No Clothes Part 2 of an article which presents simplified problem and and presented alternate models. Answers are presented in this article. The ...

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    • Authors: Lawrence N Bader
    • Date: Jun 2001
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
    • Publication Name: Pension Section News
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Pensions & Retirement>Assumptions and methods
  • From the Editor
    From the Editor Summary of all issue articles, with theme of recognizing limits of classical actuarial methods. ;; Regression analysis; Risk modeling; Statistical methods 4294992059 7/1/2012 12: ...

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    • Authors: David Snell
    • Date: Jul 2012
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial theory in business context
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • July 2013 issue of Forecasting & Futurism
    July 2013 issue of Forecasting & Futurism The July 2013 issue of the SOA’s Forecasting & Futurism section’s newsletter, Forecasting & Futurism. Financial management;Modeling ...

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    • Authors: Society of Actuaries
    • Date: Jul 2013
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • Mortality Improvement Rates: Modeling and Parameter Uncertainty
    Mortality Improvement Rates: Modeling and Parameter Uncertainty This article proposes a framework for estimating mortality improvement models and analyzing the parameter uncertainty in such ...

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    • Authors: Andrew Hunt, Andres Mauricio Villegas Ramirez
    • Date: Jul 2017
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions
    • Topics: Experience Studies & Data>Mortality; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • Cox, Ingersoll and Ross Models of Interest Rates
    Cox, Ingersoll and Ross Models of Interest Rates Presented at May 2002 Spring Meeting. Our lecturer presents findings from a research project relating to the Cox, Ingersoll & Ross model ...

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    • Authors: Peter Tilley, Wojciech Szatzschneider
    • Date: May 2002
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Record of the Society of Actuaries
    • Topics: Finance & Investments>Investments; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • Deciding What to Research: How to Spot and Avoid Bias
    Deciding What to Research: How to Spot and Avoid Bias A discussion on how to avoid bias when choosing research topics. Predictive modeling 6442473943 12/1/2016 12:00:00 AM ...

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    • Authors: Kurt Wrobel
    • Date: Dec 2016
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • The Actuarial Profession and Complex Models: Knowing the Limits of Our Knowledge
    The Actuarial Profession and Complex Models: Knowing the Limits of Our Knowledge This article discusses steps to follow to ensure a more rational and productive approach to data analysis.

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    • Authors: Kurt Wrobel
    • Date: Jul 2012
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • Dark Side Of The Moon
    Dark Side Of The Moon Feature article discussing the difficult situation of actuarial forecasting with little or no date. Financial management;Modeling efficiency;Predictive modeling 4294999280 7 ...

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    • Authors: Clark Ramsey
    • Date: Jul 2013
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • Update - Futurism 101
    Update - Futurism 101 Presented at October 1996 Annual Meeting. An update on Futurism Section activities followed by an introduction to common techniques of futurism. Examples are given how ...

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    • Authors: E Tom Hughes, Alan Mills, Peter C Bishop
    • Date: Oct 1996
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
    • Publication Name: Record of the Society of Actuaries
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • Claim forecasting using econometric stepwise regression
    Claim forecasting using econometric stepwise regression This abstract describes a paper that discusses insurance claim forecasting using econometric stepwise regression to analyze historical ...

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    • Authors: Andrew Loach, Eric L Vaagen
    • Date: Jul 2010
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting