Description: Read the August 2019 issue of Predictive Analytics and Futurism published by the Predictive Analytics and Futurism Section. Newsletter provide practical information for the working actuary, articles on trends that impact sections and news about section activities.

Description: As actuaries in health care, we spend most of our time focused on reviewing claims, enrollment and clinical data. That information is captured while patients are in health care facilities. Yet most people spend only a small fraction of their time in these facilities. This article explores what types of data are available to actuaries the provide a more holistic view of the member so that a members physical and emotional needs, the social determinants of health can be taken into consideration along with their clinical needs. Two uses cases are presented so actuaries can see how these types of analyses can be leveraged to improve clinical, operational, and financial performance of risk bearing health entities. Understanding the customer (member) not just the patient enables actuaries to provide new insights and values to our stakeholders across a wide range of business and risk applications.

Description: Actuaries today have unique opportunities to analyze, understand and use data for strategic decision making. With nearly unlimited computing power and a broad spectrum of data sources at our fingertips, we are enabled to support our actuarial judgment with comprehensive findings backed up by deep data analyses.

Description: "As digitization and automation rapidly progress in today’s life and health industry, issues with misrepresentation during the insurance application process are also becoming a growing concern for insurers around the globe. A recent survey finds that misrepresentation in application forms costs the average insurance customer an estimated 5% to 10% in higher premiums. In order to reduce this risk, insurers must find and correct areas of misrepresentation, consult post-issue sampling, review the automated underwriting processes, and monitor the quality of financial advisory firms. Learn how predictive disclosure modeling detects and reduces misrepresentation by harnessing readily available underwriting data to analyze issues, helping insurers understand various drivers for disclosure rates and areas of misrepresentation.Advantages of this modeling to various stakeholders in the life insurance journey include improved risk selection, claims experience, and reinsurance terms for insurers. For customers, it leads to increased certainty of coverage, payout of the claim, and ultimately lower premiums on average. By the end of the session, attendees will understand: The disclosure modeling process at a high level The technical details of a standard approach to disclosure modeling: data cleaning, standardization, visualization, and predictive modeling Success stories about how predictive disclosure modeling has impacted insurers"

Description: How can generative artificial intelligence (AI) be leveraged to transform and modernize life insurance? Gain an overview of AI and some of their current use cases in the industry, including the latest trends in the market. Next, you will learn about the current challenges companies face, including costly underwriting procedures, customer acquisition and retention, and complicated application processes. Finally, explore how generative AI can help address these challenges, improve customer experience and help streamline processes to free up more time for higher-level business insights and other company initiatives.

Description: Focus on Accelerated Underwriting (AUW) in the life insurance industry, which is an expedited underwriting process that utilizes predictive models. Expect to address the challenges in designing the process, from modelling to performance monitoring. Additionally, you'll address risk management, particularly in mortality and proxy discrimination andhighlight the role an actuary can play in the AUW process, as well aswhat they should know to contribute effectively.

Description: The Modeling Section, Predictive Analytics and Futurism Section, Committee on Life Insurance Research, Product Development Section and Reinsurance Section releases a report that can help to educate actuaries on how best to implement predictive modeling into relevant areas of actuarial practice. This report includes a review of existing literature and current industry practices, as well as a comprehensive set of considerations for predictive modeling in insurance applications.

Description: This project obtains ensemble simulations of surface atmospheric temperature over North America.

Description: The SOA provides information about the actuarial career path in health care and predictive analytics. Throughout 2016, we will share more about actuaries who are tackling some of the industry's biggest challenges and hear from top employers in healthcare analytics.

Description: Carol McCall led three teams – predictive analytics, health economics and outcomes research, and personalized medicine. The “river running through them” was that they all leveraged data. Her predictive analytics team eventually built a broad portfolio of models with some of them having a significant impact on Humana’s top and bottom lines.