Description: Presented at Living to 100 symposium January 2002. This paper evaluates age and sex specific patterns of change in underlying and multiple cause of death reports for the period 1980-1998 for 14 leading causes of death at ages 65 and older. Changes in four types of mortality measures will be analyzed: 1 underlying cause death rates 2 multiple cause death rates 3 associated cause death rates and 4 death rates based on the joint occurrences of multiple cause conditions. Implications of the results are discussed in the context of existing models for analyzing and forecasting future mortality patterns in the U.S.

Description: Chapter 8 suggests possible areas for further research such as other data groupings, high risk pooling, how diagnosis-based risk assessment might be improved, study of an expanded list of high-cost diagnoses, and comparisons to diagnoses from earlier time periods. From A Comparative Analysis of Methods of Health Risk Assessment, M-HB96-1.

Description: This paper proposes a new method to price the longevity risk premia in order to tackle the pricing obstacle. Based on the equivalent utility pricing principle, our method obtains the minimum risk premium required by the longevity insurance seller and the maximum acceptable risk premium by the longevity insurance buyer.

Description: Chapter 7 reviews several items that the study identified as requirements for a good risk assessment method. They are: accurate predictability, practicality and reasonable cost, limitation on ability to game the system, timeliness in regard to premiums, appropriate incentives for efficiency. From A Comparative Analysis of Methods of Health Risk Assessment, M-HB96-1.

Description: Chapter 5 simulates the risk adjustment process within a hypothetical purchasing alliances using four different risk assessment methods. From A Comparative Analysis of Methods of Health Risk Assessment, M-HB96-1.

Description: This is an abstract for the paper, Analysis of Costs for a Chronic Disease with Acute High Cost Episodes by Marjorie Rosenberg and Philip Farrell.

Description: Presented at the Living to 100 Symposium, January 2011. This paper examines the relationship between the earliest stages of dementia—mild cognitive impairment—and mortality. Using data from long-term care insurance applicants, and linking this to the Social Security Master Death File, the authors focus on the classification results of two cognitive screens used at various times in the underwriting process. Applying the Cox Proportional Hazards Model as well as relative mortality ratio analysis, the authors show that the proportion of individuals classified as cognitively impaired have significantly higher relative mortality compared to those classified as cognitively intact.

Description: Presented at Living to 100 symposium, January 2011. Using longitudinal data from the Canadian National Population Health Survey, this paper seeks to identify social, behavioral and psycho-social factors associated with change in health status to provide insight for the aging baby boomers to help them foster a healthy aging experience.

Description: Transcript of the Q&A period from Session 6B: Health Status and its Impact on Mortality

Description: Author reply to Jay Olshansky’s discussion of “Health Expectancy” paper and reply from authors Faye Albert, John Bragg and Jason Brooks.