Description: At this session of the 2004 Valuation Actuary Symposium, SEC medical rollforward schedules are reviewed. The background that led to these schedules, i.e. stock analysts attempting to understand earnings results, is presented. Differences in reserving practices among managed care companies are discussed.

Description: Article reviews the data a year into the unwinding of continuous coverage provisions in Medicaid, the impact on enrollment counts, how capitation rates have been adjusted, and compares those results to what has been modeled with the SOA Mediciad Unwinding model.

Description: This article is the second installment in a three-part series on economic scenario generators (“ESGs”). Part I was published in the November 2019 issue. Part II addresses critical considerations in selecting, building, using, and validating ESGs. The article discusses key criteria in understanding ESGs including: - Risk factors - Scenario type - Process and parameterization - Calibration - Number of scenarios - Timing considerations

Description: During March 2020, COVID-19 concerns escalated in the U.S. and lockdown measures were announced. Market returns in March 2020 were quite extreme and choppy, alternating between days of huge gains and losses. As investors prepare for the future, it is important to understand whether these volatility surges and sharp movements are understood and captured by commonly used models. In this article, we will explore equity market performance in 2020 using the S&P 500 Total Return Index (SP500TR) and the relevant equity modeling implications

Description: The presenter will share his opinion on the major and minor cycle of the global and China economy. He believes that the recovery of the major cycle depends on the resonance of politics between China and the United States, as well as reform. As the minor cycle is V-type, the weak recovery depends on policy and price increase. The liquidity regulation and the growth advance together. The economic cycle is stabilizing, monetary policy is tightening the margin and the importance of the regulation is increasing. But the increase of the economy is critical to risk controlling.

Description: 2011 SOA Enterprise Risk Management Symposium, Chicago. The stated purpose of this paper is to consider whether a more comprehensive and timely measurement framework for risk exposure is now needed and to examine one possible approach. This paper proposes a new approach to risk measurement that, along with capital measurement and more rigorous oversight, will allow banks an ability to manage risk.

Description: This is a panel discussion of underwriting, pricing and societal considerations in insuring risks such as financial guarantees, product and professional liability, workers' compensation benefits, unemployment benefits, and others in a changing social and economic environment.

Description: This article covers subjects discussed at the 2011 Living To 100 Symposium. Included were the real potential of a material extension of life and economic challenges associated such an occurrence.

Description: The American Academy of Actuaries and the Society of Actuaries (SOA) have joined resources to manage the economic scenario generators used in regulatory reserve and capital calculations.