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Like Peas in a Pod - Ideas in Cluster Analysis
create a feature that encodes the average income, mortality rate, or per member per month (PMPM) health care ... Computational Statistics 5(5):349-361. Lundberg S., Lee S., A unified approach to interpreting model predictions ...- Authors: Michael Niemerg
- Date: Apr 2020
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods; Predictive Analytics
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Actuaries: Do We Know Our Limits?
so we put in a link to it. http://dl.dropbox.com/u/52684680/2020%20Hindsight.pdf Scott plans to make ... abilities and limits. How well can you predict U.S. unemployment? There is an iPad 2 in store for the ...- Authors: David Snell
- Date: Jan 2012
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Are Genetic Algorithms Even Applicable to Actuaries?
6 | FORECASTING & FUTURISM JULY 2011 S everal professional fields are currently using genetic ... Complexity: A Guided Tour, Oxford University Press U.S. (2009). 7 Hull, John C., Options, Futures, and ...- Authors: Benjamin Steward Wadsley
- Date: Jul 2011
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Finance & Investments>Asset liability management; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Surrogate Models: A Comfortable Middle Ground?
Surrogate Models: A Comfortable Middle Ground? In this article we examine the benefits ... large errors are less favorable than small errors. Table 1 Difference Between MAE and RMSE Metrics GLM Versus ...- Authors: Harrison Jones
- Date: Aug 2021
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Regression analysis; Predictive Analytics>Modeling techniques
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Know your policyholders first, Model their behavior second
For example, what would happen with the fixed annuity lapse if in- terest rates go up a lot, and very ... in the June 2020 issue of Milliman’s Vari- able Annuity Market Update. It is reprinted here with permission ...- Authors: David Wang
- Date: Aug 2020
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Experience Studies & Data
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Standing Room Only! Complexity Grows at Annual Meeting
Standing Room Only! Complexity Grows at Annual Meeting Discusses the three complexity science ... ity science (at the Annual Meeting 2010, Life & Annuity Symposium 2011 and Health Meeting 2011, plus some ...- Authors: David Snell
- Date: Jan 2012
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Economics>Behavioral economics; Finance & Investments>Asset liability management; Modeling & Statistical Methods
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Semi-Supervised Learning with Generative Adversarial Networks
Semi-Supervised Learning with Generative Adversarial Networks This article discusses how ... underwriting decisions or mortality experience on a small number. For mortality experience, semi-supervised ...- Authors: Jeff T Heaton
- Date: Aug 2019
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Predictive Analytics
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Follow Your Passion
Follow Your Passion An autobiographical journey from actuarial student to data scientist. Alternative ... actuarial credibility and the intricacies of the U.S. health care system, while consulting has helped ...- Authors: Sheamus Parkes
- Date: Jul 2016
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Actuarial Profession>Alternative careers; Predictive Analytics
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Impact of Exponential Technologies on Actuarial Profession
reality for in- surers to assess the change in mortality due to this. Change will be so radical and emerging ... and health wearables that directly assess our mortality and morbidity risks. 8. You can get life insurance ...- Authors: Syed Danish Ali
- Date: Jun 2020
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Predictive Analytics
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The First Step in Building a Predictive Model
The First Step in Building a Predictive Model A discussion on the starting point of building ... starting point for any model is to define what question(s) you are trying to answer. What are you trying to ...- Authors: Nathan Dennis Pohle
- Date: Dec 2018
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods