Description: This report provides an educational background on the process of building predictive models, as well as a detailed presentation of the model results. Predictive models provide a method to capture variation by multiple variables and understand the relationship between these variables. This allows for a deeper understanding of key variables than is possible under a traditional approach.

Description: A document summarizing key observations and the process used to develop the rates, along with a table of the rates themselves.

Description: This paper by the SOA Committee on HIV research builds on past work to show three projections of the future of the AIDS epidemic. These scenarios can provide information to actuaries in considering the financial impact of AIDS for life and health insurance. The paper develops general population AIDS mortality rates related to the three scenarios. From Transactions of Society of Actuaries 1990, Vol. 42.

Description: The most recently released US population mortality experience from 2016 is analyzed along with prior available mortality data going back to 1999.

Description: This report provides early insights into the level of U.S. population mortality in 2018

Description: The study identifies significant U.S. mortality improvement/deterioration trends since 1959 including, but not limited to, those described in the SOA report, Components of Historical Mortality Improvement, using cause-of-death and other relevant data sources to quantify the likely degree of causality.

Description: View report on U.S. Population Mortality Observations – Updated with 2019 Experience.

Description: View the U.S. Population Mortality Observations - Updated with 2020 Experience.