Description: This paper presents a model is which can be used for certain annuities when interest rates and future lifetimes are random. These can be used in determining contingency reserves for possible adverse interest and mortality experience for collections of life annuity contracts. Certain boundary crossing probabilities for the stochastic process component of the model are obtained. From Actuarial Research Clearing House 1991, VOL. 1.

Description: The projection methods used by the Social Security Administration's Office of the Chief Actuary are important. The resulting projections are cited regularly by policy-makers, academics and others interested in the long-term financial solvency of the OASDI system. However, a complete description of this projection methodology that is vital for serious policy discussions is not available to the general public. This summary was constructed in connection with the Social Security Advisory Board's 1999 Technical Panel on Methods and Assumptions. A goal of the Methods and Modeling working group of the Technical Panel was to 'work to ensure that the projection methods used by the Office of the Chief Actuary become more public.' From Actuarial Research Clearing House 2000, Vol. 1.

Description: Provides white vs. black mortality rates based upon Social Security data for years 1984 - 1988, and separate tables based upon data from 'Health United States' for years 1983 - 1987 and data from 'Vital Statistics of the United States' for years 1983 - 1987.

Description: Describes purpose of ARCH and editorial policy.

Description: This paper consists of two parts. The first concerns the financing of public systems, the second is a challenging introduction to variances encountered in life insurance and life annuity theory. The first part emerges from work by some actuarial students and faculty at the University of Michigan during the past five years. The second part was stimulated by some developments in the preparation of the second edition of Actuarial Mathematics.

Description: This issue of ARCH is devoted to the written presentations given at the Actuarial Research Conference on New Methods and Applications of Life Contingency Mathematics, held at Ball State University, Muncie, Indiana from August 31 to September 2, 1978.

Description: This article investigates the properties of the Gompertz distribution function. Explicit formulas for continuous life insurances and annuities are given in terms of the left-truncated gamma function. Moreover, approximations for the mean, variance, skewness and kurtosis of the Gompertz distribution are also given. Finally, the article shows that using a Gompertz assumption at fractional ages produces better a approximation than the usual UDD assumption.

Description: The standard deviation of the present value of benefits of portfolios of identical insurance contracts are examined when both the mortality and the force of interest are stochastic. Several models for the force of interest are presented. The impact of the different stochastic models for the force of interest and of different parameters on the mortality risk and the interest risk is investigated. From Actuarial Research Clearing House 1994, VOL. 1.

Description: This paper presents a stochastic model in continuous time to characterize the ultimate benefit to be derived by a group of similar workers from their career membership in pension plans. This characterization is in terms of termination rates, vesting rules, plan types and periods of employment. The employment termination pattern is represented by a renewal process and a reward function is introduced to unify different plan types. A number of basic functions are then deduced to represent termination benefits, retirement benefits and the loss due to delayed vesting. An analysis of these functions lead to a number of conclusions regarding the comparative effects of delayed vesting in different plans. From Actuarial Research Clearing House 1981, Vol. 1.