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Why Consider a Delphi Study?
study by the SOA was spearheaded by the Long Term Care Think Tank and published in 2014: “Land This Plane ... consensus on solutions to the nation’s long- term care financing challenges. There were widely different ...- Authors: Ben Wolzenski
- Date: Apr 2018
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>General business skills
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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December 2016 edition of Predictive Analytics & Futurism
good way. Yes, you put in a lot of time without direct compensation; but the result is highly rewarding ... found is a group of very involved individuals who care deeply about learning and innovating. They are ...- Authors: Society of Actuaries
- Date: Dec 2016
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Deep Learning in Risk Management: A Gentle Introduction
result that we seek in real-world applications: The primary goal is predictive modeling, and the test data ... both probability and potential dollar impact. The primary human input into ANNs is the articulation of the ...- Authors: Damon Levine
- Date: Sep 2022
- Publication Name: Risk Management
- Topics: Enterprise Risk Management>Risk measurement - ERM; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Deterministic models; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Estimation methods; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Corporate Models and Assumptions
However, the dis- tinction is helpful to define the primary emphasis for the development of each assumption ... contribute to policy loans. It was determined that two primary factors could be used to closely :reflect the amount ...- Authors: Allan Affleck, Robert A Lyle, Kihong Sung
- Date: Mar 1977
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Record of the Society of Actuaries
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Deterministic models; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Stochastic models
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Best Methods and Practices in Judgmental Forecasting
Economists are no different: judgment is “the primary factor that the economist uses in converting mere ... optimistic and one pessimistic scenario. The primary purpose of a scenario is to constrain judgmental ...- Authors: Alan Mills
- Date: Jul 2010
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Society Of Actuaries Annual Meeting Features Social Insurance Modeling Mini-Seminar
Society Of Actuaries Annual Meeting Features Social Insurance Modeling Mini-Seminar Information ... of the uncertainty in these projections. The primary approach used historically has been through the ...- Authors: Sam Gutterman
- Date: Jul 2010
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
- Publication Name: In The Public Interest
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Social Insurance
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Creating a Useful Training Dataset for Predictive Modeling
from the health care world. LIMITATIONS ON PATIENTS WITH CLAIMS HISTORIES Accountable care organizations ... For instance, in a model that predicts health care costs, this time period would be used to determine ...- Authors: Anders Larson
- Date: Dec 2016
- Competency: Professional Values>Practice expertise; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Problem analysis and definition; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Predictive Analytics; Technology & Applications>Analytics and informatics
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Deciding What to Research: How to Spot and Avoid Bias
involves the changes brought about by the Affordable Care Act or poli- cies regarding the funding of pension ... countries. Instead of using data reported by health care professionals with strict defini- tions in a consistent ...- Authors: Kurt Wrobel
- Date: Dec 2016
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Society Seminars
Society Seminars Article Society Seminars by Adams in The Actuary, February 1979, Volume 13, Number ... nature which the regulators can do that has a direct impact on lapse control.” In 1975, however, the ...- Authors: Warren R Adams
- Date: Feb 1979
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations; External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial theory in business context; External Forces & Industry Knowledge>External forces and business performance
- Publication Name: The Actuary Magazine
- Topics: Finance & Investments>Investment policy; Life Insurance; Life Insurance>Investment strategy - Life Insurance; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Delphi Study 2000 - Predictions for 2010 and 2050
direction. Here are a few of the highlights.2 HEALTH CARE EXPENSES AND INSURANCE Most participants’ predictions ... range, for each of the four questions. Total health care expenditures as a percentage of GDP were 17.9 percent ...- Authors: Ben Wolzenski
- Date: Jul 2013
- Competency: Results-Oriented Solutions>Assess decision effectiveness
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting