Description: This paper demonstrates the use of Quantile Regression in the development and understanding of conditional value at risk (VaR) models for enterprise risk management.

Description: We employ a framework for the classification of mortality evolution patterns to HMD data. We find both supra-regional patterns and outliers from global trends.

Description: This paper, originally published in 1969 in Transactions of Society of Actuaries Vol. 21, presents an analysis of the basic actuarial theory for life insurance policies with fixed premiums and variable benefits reflecting the investment performance of a separate account, where in its basic form, the policyholder bears the entire investment risk. The paper discusses various regulatory and other changes that would be needed or desirable, as well as variation in design such as minimum guarantees. Significant discussion is included, with over twenty individuals contributing in addition to the authors. The introduction to the Monograph notes that while not the first paper on this topic, it “clearly established the framework for subsequent developments of variable products.”

Description: This paper uses a simple example to examine the relationship between the pricing objective of ROI and the corporate profit measure of ROE. Additionally, this paper examines the effect on ROI and ROE of growth in the amount of new business. From Product Development Section Monograph, M-AS99-3.

Description: We apply grouped functional time series forecasting methods to produce point forecasts of mortality rates at older ages and price fixed-term annuities.