Description: Watch as presenters highlight the SOA's work on an updated Medicaid underwriting margin model. This research project includes the model along with a set of instructions and a paper describing the key components of underwriting margin, including cost of capital and risk margin. The model was created as a tool for Medicaid actuaries representing both MCO and state principals to determine appropriate underwriting margin components within Medicaid managed care rates. In addition, explore a brief description of the motivation for an underlying theory behind the model. Walk through different model inputs and run through some realistic scenarios that Medicaid actuaries may encounter in states where they operate.

Description: "A crucial importance in forecasting is to be able to distinguish cases when temporary slowdowns in health care utilization are followed by a “rebound” period of higher utilization. Come explore an analysis of a new mathematical model describing the return-of-care process. By means of simulation and case studies using the R programming language, the relationship between the visibility of these effects and the endogenous variance of the utilization time series is explored. After attending this session, you will be able to: Describe the parameters and mathematical form of the model Apply the model to real-world utilization data"

Description: Tree models have been found to provide a good fit to group long term disability recovery and mortality rates. This research paper provides an overview of tree models, and details how they have been used for developing these rates.

Description: This report outlines the current wellness environment, the objectives of the wellness study and provides a summary of the overall study findings. This report is supplemented by the Research Summary Report, Survey Results, and Interviews with Researchers. This document includes a summary of key findings from each of the three phases.

Description: Explore SOA-sponsored research on Social Determinants of Health (SDOH) during the How Does Where You Live Impact Your Health webcast. Dive into SDOH data and modeling that will focus on cluster analysis. This will help determine the overall impact of your area's affect on your health and life. This webcast also covers an overview of the existing SDOH-related programs that may affect or intersect with health plan or provider SDOH initiatives. Discover the importance of the place you live and future impact of your overall health.

Description: In this paper, the authors created a mathematical model which reflects typical relativities by age, duration of disablement, and deferment period for disability risk. The paper is followed by discussions submitted by various reviewers.

Description: CMS has required hospitals to publish their chargemaster rates, cash discounts and negotiated rates as of January 1, 2021. Our panel is comprised of a data strategist, an executive from a large hospital system and an actuary.

Description: Discuss various analytics and use cases using payer published reimbursement contract data under federal mandate of Transparency in Coverage. These contract rates are publicly available in machine readable format (MRF) starting July 1, 2022, and refreshed monthly. By attending the session, you will have a better understanding of the state-of-art development and analytics using MRF data, including the technologies used to extract and analyze huge MRF files, validation and limitations of published rates, and their use cases.

Description: "Discuss research conducted at the Cleveland Clinic to understand levels of anxiety and depression across Northeast Ohio. Specifically, learn how advanced analytical techniques were utilized with social media data from Twitter and Google to estimate the need for psychological support by geography and overtime. The panel will go further to demonstrate how natural language processing (NLP) and machine learning could be used to make operational decisions at a leading health care provider."

Description: Discussion of methods to estimate unpaid claim liability UCL for health plans. Includes traditional IBNR lag method and a lag method based on claims reported but not paid RBNP. Issue No. 45