Description: An introduction to the Forecasting & Futurism section's 2014 contest, where participants are encouraged to explore a forecasting application and develop it. The article discusses the contest, the scoring, and the prize.

Description: This article discusses steps to follow to ensure a more rational and productive approach to data analysis.

Description: Spreadsheets have become ubiquitous in business and forecasting. However, they do not usually have the same level of control that any other complex program would require. As a result, we often get erroneous results which can have far reaching, negative consequences.

Description: Feature article discussing the difficult situation of actuarial forecasting with little or no date.

Description: Alternative sources of learning available for free or at low cost if you wish to round out your F&F education about machine learning, artificial neural networks, genetic algorithms and the millennia of biological advances we draw from when we use these techniques.

Description: Continuation of a tutorial on Fuzzy (vs. Boolean, or 'crisp') logic and how you can use it to create actuarial models that better fit the real world. The article provides basic theory in non-technical terms and shows applications using the R programming language.

Description: Summary of the issue, with emphasis on common sense and accuracy rather than blind precision. Also describes two F&F contests.

Description: A Delphi Research Study of Long-Term Care Financing Solutions." Two members of the Project Oversight Group discuss the reasons for the study and the Delphi method and summarize the results of the study.

Description: This article describes a method that can be useful when re-fitting a risk score model to a population of only moderate size. Learn how to use concepts like ridge regression to train a model with partial credibility.

Description: An overview of the Predictive Analytics World (PAW) conference