Description: This article provides a brief overview of the current state of machine learning (ML) and artificial intelligence (AI) as they apply to actuarial science, including discussion around the integration of actuarial judgment with ML and AI. It concludes with an example of explainable ML through a python tool known as SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations), which is able to explain the key drivers behind individual ML or AI predictions.

Description: This is the abstract of a preliminary report on a research project about the applications of dynamical systems theory in actuarial science. The project is funded by the AERF. The paper will briefly describe the nature of dynamical systems and present a tentative model derived from percolation theory that could be used to understand the pricing variations encountered in a competitive environment and that could also be used as a model for credibility. From Actuarial Research Clearing House 1992, Vol. 1.

Description: This chapter focuses on creating practical models that aid in the prediction of the risk of readmission to a specific hospital within 30 days of discharge for Medicare patients, to aid in the identification and stratification of at-risk patients for hospitals considering building an intervention program in a cost-effective manner. For readers who wish to develop their own predictive model, a dataset is provided on the Actexmadriver.com website, and R code is provided in the appendix to this chapter.

Description: This article promotes the concept of long range planning for life insurance companies and notes that actuaries are well equiped for this activity.

Description: A review of the latest of a series of reports from Statistics Canada, covering data from various Canadian social benefits programs for 1971-1977.

Description: Article from The Actuary, March 1972 – volume 6 - Issue 3 provides a recap of the Conference on Capitalization of Risk Ventures, sponsored jointly by the Graduate School of Business of the University of Wisconsin and by the Society's Committee on Research. The conference was held October 21-23, 1971 in Madison, Wisconsin.

Description: For actuarial projections to serve as the management tools that they are intended to be, the persons charged with making those projections need to consider whether the projection is sufficiently sophisticated so that it does not miss major items.It is important to consider the tax effect. This article covers several of the major tax issues that should be considered in any actuarial projection.

Description: Appendix E is round 2 on comments on application of judgmental methods from the Delphi study. See the SOA Website Research section for the full Delphi Study of Economic Variables Report along with all the variables.

Description: The following topics were discussed at concurrent sessions: 1. Personal Security in the 1970's- United States and Canada, 2. Adjusted earnings for life companies, 3. Pension funding, 4. What about these younger actuaries?, 5. Sources of statistical information for actuaries, 6. Variable life insurance, 7. Models and decision techniques, and 8. Role of the actuary in expense control. From Transactions of Society of Actuaries 1970, Vol 22, Pt. 2, No. 63.

Description: Using data from the Mexican Social Security Institute for labor risks, this paper classifies the severity of sequels in three categories: mild, moderate and high, and attempts to relate this level with the characteristics of the worker and his activities at work. Toward this goal, a model was built using a multilogistic regression, which allowed predicting the severity of physical sequels caused by a labor risk. From Actuarial Research Clearing House, 2006.