Description: This session from the 1995 SOA Boston Meeting examines the background and reasons leading to recent Canadian and U.S. insurance company failures, covering the roles of management, actuaries, rating agencies, and regulators. From the Record of the Society of Actuaries, Vol. 21, No. 4a.

Description: During March 2020, COVID-19 concerns escalated in the U.S. and lockdown measures were announced. Market returns in March 2020 were quite extreme and choppy, alternating between days of huge gains and losses. As investors prepare for the future, it is important to understand whether these volatility surges and sharp movements are understood and captured by commonly used models. In this article, we will explore equity market performance in 2020 using the S&P 500 Total Return Index (SP500TR) and the relevant equity modeling implications

Description: This is a continuation of an article published for the speculative future contest in 2023. It mentions how the collapse of China would cause a global recession in 2029 due to the current and predicted geopolitical climate in 2023.

Description: British actuary, also a noted financial expert, talks about the way that domestic financial systems are not in equilibrium. He specifically describes some of the underlying financial flows in the system, how those underlying financial flows drive markets responsible for markets either rising or falling, and then the behavior of those markets. Next, he assesses the sentiment of the markets. Last, he talks about what happens when the financial flows and expectations are in the same direction. From the 1988 Record of Society of Actuaries, Vol. 14, No. 3.

Description: In this article, the author discusses the new IAA strategic plan for dealing with global financial risk.

Description: The effects of climate change have been widely documented. Whether it’s rising temperatures, more frequent and violent storms or disruption to wild life, there is a consensus in the scientific community that these effects are real. What are the risks and opportunities that climate change brings to an investment portfolio? As society transitions to more sustainable sources of energy and tries to find more sustainable ways to consume, there will be winners and losers. In this presentation, speakers will discuss their process to identify winners in this changing world and highlight the risks to various industries.

Description: Have you ever wondered why patterns persist in the stock market but never change our expected return? Efficient-market theory has been attacked by many sides, especially due to the existence of irrational investors.

Description: This session from the 1983 SOA Spring Meeting presents competitive forces in the insurance and pension industries and the outlook for the insurance industry over the next five to ten years. It focuses on deregulation, competition and technological development.

Description: This paper is about a concept known as the 'rate of transmission of information' or, more simply, as the 'information rate.' The authors establish the equivalence of arbitrage-free economic systems and a generalized betting model in such a way that the interpretation of the information rate, as the maximum rate of increase of an investor's capital, is preserved. As a corollary to this result, they show that the difference in the information rate between models represents the achievable incremental return associated with the superior predictor model. From Actuarial Research Clearing House 1993, Vol. 3.

Description: Speech about monetary and fiscal policy developments in an election year and analysis of inflation and growth prospects. The speaker discussed the prospects for economic recovery in 1992 and the probable impact on interest rates and investment markets.