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  • Book Review: The Improbability Principle, Black Swans & Sully Sullenberger
    Book Review: The Improbability Principle, Black Swans & Sully Sullenberger Review of The Improbability Principle: Why Coincidences, Miracles, and Rare Events Happen Every Day, by ...

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    • Authors: Society of Actuaries, Jay Jaffe
    • Date: Aug 2014
    • Competency: Communication>Written communication; External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial theory in business context
    • Publication Name: The Actuary Magazine
    • Topics: Enterprise Risk Management>Risk measurement - ERM; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • Insurance Regulation: the 1-year 99.5% VaR Fallacy
    Insurance Regulation: the 1-year 99.5% VaR Fallacy European insurance regulation pretends to capture and rely on the 1-year 1-in-200 VaR. But there cannot exist any scientific calibration of such ...

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    • Authors: Sylvestre Frezal
    • Date: Aug 2017
    • Competency: Strategic Insight and Integration>Effective decision-making; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Incorporate risk management; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Problem analysis and definition; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
    • Publication Name: Risk Management
    • Topics: Enterprise Risk Management>Risk measurement - ERM; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Estimation methods; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Extreme value theory; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Value at risk - Modeling & Statistical Methods
  • A Practical Algorithm for Approximating the Probability of Ruin
    A Practical Algorithm for Approximating the Probability of Ruin This paper presents an algorithm for approximating the probability of ruin for a Poisson process - which is often used to model an ...

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    • Authors: Colin M Ramsay
    • Date: Oct 1992
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Transactions of the SOA
    • Topics: Enterprise Risk Management>Risk measurement - ERM; Modeling & Statistical Methods
  • The expected discounted penalty at ruin for a risk model with two-sided jumps
    The expected discounted penalty at ruin for a risk model with two-sided jumps This abstract describes a paper that considers a general risk model in which both the claim and income gain arrivals ...

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    • Authors: Yi Lu, Shuanming Li
    • Date: Jul 2010
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Topics: Enterprise Risk Management>Risk measurement - ERM; Modeling & Statistical Methods
  • On the Haezendonck-Goovaerts Risk Measure for Extreme Risks
    On the Haezendonck-Goovaerts Risk Measure for Extreme Risks This presentation from the 2011 46th Actuarial Research Conference is about the Haezendonck-Goovaerts risk measure for extreme risks.

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    • Authors: Fan Yang
    • Date: Aug 2011
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge
    • Topics: Enterprise Risk Management>Risk measurement - ERM; Modeling & Statistical Methods