Description: One component of this project is to model the impact of population structure on returns across asset classes. Previous research suggests that an overlapping generations (OLG) model is an appropriate modeling approach. This literature review has been prepared to provide background information regarding OLG models and the diversity and complexity that may be introduced into such models. This review has been prepared to provide a fuller discussion of some of the characteristics that may be especially relevant in our decision-making regarding the model we will build.

Description: Observations and commentary on the 2016‐2017 and recent flu seasons with relation to various mortality and morbidity measures available through the CDC.

Description: Comparison of healthcare costs for early retirees versus active workers in the same age band. When adjusted for age, there is not a significant difference in costs between each group.

Description: This paper reviews the recently published Canadian literature on changing Canadian demographic profiles and highlights the actuarial aspects of the information provided therein. Discussions of this paper are included.

Description: This article presents recent perspectives on the understanding and measurement of pandemic risk.

Description: This article discusses the ratio of male birth to female birth, which is dropping. The experts cite older ages of parents, environmental pollution, fertility drugs, and other factors. This article discusses the observation that throughout nature, the ecosystem maintains a remarkable stability. Due to declining mortality rates for males relative to females, fewer males need to be born now to maintain equal numbers of males and females during the reproductive years. This may be a factor in the decline of the ratio of males born to females born.

Description: Demography is a very exciting subject. With a simple mathematical model, students can project a country's population forward 25, 59, 75 even 100 years. This paper will focus on six ideas from demography. They all can be useful to an actuary, yet none of them would be considered at any length if the actuary didn’t study demography.

Description: With a reference to Malthus, this paper notes that the main constraint on human population in the foreseeable future is cultivable land for food agriculture. The author proposes a solution involving the use of land that is currently desert, using desalination and solar power a plan which he demonstrates can be sustainable and profitable.

Description: U.S. population mortality rates by gender and single year of age for calendar years 2000-2014. To develop these rates, the SOA relied upon data furnished by the Centers for disease Control and Prevention, Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, and the Social Security Administration.

Description: The purpose of this document is to provide information regarding the specifications of the model to be produced in connection with the project, Population Aging, Implications for Asset Values, and Impact for Pension Plans: An International Study. The authors are seeking input from actuaries and others interested in this work.