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Random Switching Times Among Randomly Parameterized Regimes of Random Interest Rate Scenarios
Random Switching Times Among Randomly Parameterized Regimes of Random Interest Rate Scenarios The behavior of extreme paths in the usual stochastic interest rate models is not nearly so plausible ...Description: The behavior of extreme paths in the usual stochastic interest rate models is not nearly so plausible as the behavior of their expected values and variances. This paper proposes a new class of models that deliver more plausible extreme paths while preserving the usual expected value and variance behavior. Along the way we derive the closed form solution for the traditional mean-reverting lognormal process, including the drift compensation.
Hide- Authors: James Bridgeman
- Date: Jan 2007
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Incorporate risk management; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Asset modeling; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Stochastic models