Description: This is a list of members on the Mortality and Morbidity Experience Studies Committees.

Description: The hybrid Life/LTC and Life / Chronic Illness market is an exciting market that is in its relative infancy. There are many new companies that have just entered, or are considering entering, the hybrid market. Hybrid sales have grown tremendously over the past decade and are still going strong, with annual premium revenue estimated to be above $4 billion per year. The young issue ages for these products, relative to when LTC benefits are paid, means that the claim experience in the industry for these products is still very limited. Additionally, there are many moving parts to these products that present correlated risks and assumptions. The new entrants to the market, limited experience, and the interactions of risks create an environment equipped for vibrant discussions on the product structure, risks, assumptions, and considerations for modeling these hybrid products. The presenters would provide insight into each of these topics through a conceptual discussion, supported by observational data from case study projections and sensitivities.

Description: Provides new tables that show the average relationship between weight, height and girth. Based on 1959 Build and Blood Pressure Study. Comparisons to a similar table prepared in 1929, by Dr. Charles P. Clark, are made. From Transactions of Society of Actuaries, 1966 Reports.

Description: Amid macroeconomic uncertainty, proactive lapse management is becoming a growing strategic focus for Life and Annuity carriers. Interest rates have been increasing rapidly during the last eighteen months and insurers, especially annuity writers, have started to see higher lapses and withdrawals. After a prolonged low interest period, many insurers will have to (re)build capabilities to enable proactive lapse management.

Description: This article contains a summary of the SOA International Experience Survey of Embedded Value Financial Assumptions. Topics surveyed include discount rate, equity return, fixed return, local government return, inflation, and tax rates.

Description: Hear about modernized reporting capabilities and technical analysis, which is enabled through access to deep actuarial and financial planning data. The webcast will focus on a real post-Long Duration Targeted Improvements (LDTI) source of earnings analysis and on a high-level LDTI forecasting capability.

Description: Mortality Model Selection and Combination in RAlternative approaches for selecting mortality models and forecasting mortality have been proposed. The usual practice is to base mortality forecasts on a single mortality model selected using in-sample goodness-of-fit measures. However, cross-validation and other alternative out-of-sample measures are increasingly being used in model selection, and model combination methods are becoming a common alternative to using a single mortality model. Such methods combine predictions from multiple mortality models to reduce model choice uncertainty and improve forecast accuracy. Explore techniques to select and combine mortality models using the freely available open source R package CoMoMo (https://github.com/kessysalvatory/CoMoMo), which extends the widely used R package StMoMo (https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=StMoMo). We will use data for the USA and other countries to discuss and demonstrate four different model combination approaches including simple model averaging, Bayesian model averaging, model confidence set, and stacked regression ensembles.

Description: The SOA has developed a new “tool” using Microsoft Access/Excel for international actuaries to conduct mortality and persistency studies in conjunction with the SOA’s international experience study initiative. Professionally programmed, this new tool facilitates the work of international actuaries.

Description: Corrections to table in 1986-98 Credit Risk Loss Experience Study relative to S&P default and average loss rates by credit rating.

Description: The SOA Research Institute and LIMRA have completed the most up-to-date study of variable annuity contract owner behavior. Learn more about this vital resource for actuaries working with annuities.