Description: 2011 Enterprise Risk Management Symposium, Chicago. This presentation discusses how real world Grey Swan scenarios are excellent choices for stress and resiliency testing. In addition, an example is provided of a set of Grey Swan scenarios which correspond to the RBC C-3, Phase II.

Description: The August/September 2015 edition of The Actuary magazine—the Society of Actuaries’ flagship publication.

Description: This paper applies the research in Prospect Theory of Kahneman and Tversky to explain why sales of annuities lag sales of life insurance products. The author theorizes that life insurance is easier to sell because customers perceive themselves to be in the domain of losses, while potential annuity customers perceive themselves to be in the domain of gains. Kahneman and Tversky showed us that people are mostly risk averse in the domain of gains and risk seeking in the domain of losses. Purchase of an annuity or life product is a risky investment. Customers will find it easier to take the risk in the life insurance domain of losses than the annuity domain of gains. The author then proposes a hybrid life annuity product that might address both mortality and longevity risk in one product that would allow both products to be more competitive than stand-alone products.

Description: There will be inflection points in the value of an instrument when interest rates change. These inflection points could materially impact the approximation of value change using ALM metrics. In this part of the seven-part series, I will highlight: • How to identify the inflection points; • the range of rate changes where ALM metrics may be relied upon i.e., the “validity” range, outside of which recalculation of the ALM metrics is required and the potential that one needs to rebalance the portfolio; • a technique to improve on the approximation of value change beyond the validity range; and • a technique to convert non-linear change on the yield curve to be used with duration and convexity.

Description: An overview of guaranteed lifetime withdrawal benefits (GLWB) on registered index-linkedannuity (RILA) products and a stochastic analysis of market risks.

Description: In order for an organization to benefit from artificial intelligence/machine learning (AI/ML) models, it requires the involvement of different business areas. During this webcast, professionals from data analytics, audit and risk areas will address challenges and provide solutions for working together to develop, implement, use and risk manage AI/ML tools. Throughout the discussion, the presenters will discuss: • Defining and exploring the challenges and objectives between data scientists, domain experts and control functions • Risk management – model risks and other risks • End-to-end model validation • Model performance vs. interpretability/understandability trade-offs • What to audit – auditor’s challenge and solutions

Description: This report documents the work of the UCT with respect to development of an algorithm used to score preferred risk class structures, producing Relative Risk Scores and Prevalences. It is built for both knockout and debit-credit scoring methodologies.

Description: This article discusses how small insurance companies can get into the complex equity indexed market by using alliances wherein there is one primary company and one or more secondary companies. The primary company would perform all of the functions for itself and some of the functions for the secondary companies. The companies pool assets to reach critical mass.

Description: Interest Maintenance Reserve ("IMR") has become a hot topic recently due to rising interest rates, causing decreases or even negative IMR balances for some insurers. This article aims to exam some new questions facing financial reporting actuaries: - How should negative IMR be treated for statutory reporting? - What are the other actuarial implications of negative IMR? - What have regulators done and/or plan to do about negative IMR? - What are potential mitigants?

Description: This article provides an update, as of September 2019, on the Reinsurance Section’s sponsored research in process and studies recently completed.