Description: This paper compares percentile estimates of a large number of cash flow testing scenarios, where only a very small number fall in the ruin tail, by parametric and non-parametric methods.

Description: 1973 SOA Regional Meetings, Saint Paul and San Francisco. This paper provided a summary of several concurrent sessions from the referenced meetings including: 1. PRICE DISCLOSURE AND COST COMPARISON. 2. INDIVIDUAL LIFE AND HEALTH UNDERWRITING. 3. TIME SERIES ANALYSIS AND FORECASTING. 4. INDIVIDUAL HEALTH INSURANCE - PROBLEMS AND PRODUCT TRENDS. 3. VARIABLE LIFE INSURANCE. 6. POLLUTION, POPULATION, AND THE QUALITY OF LIFE. 7. HEALTH MAINTENANCE ORGANIZATIONS.

Description: This paper examines four and-a-half years of prescription records for an elderly population who have relatively comprehensive out-of-hospital drug coverage under the Pharmaceutical Assistance Contract for the Elderly program in Pennsylvania. The result is a discussion of the determination of non-parametric estimations of the distributions. From Actuarial Research Clearing House 1991, Vol 1.

Description: This paper defines a general model for arbitrary units and gives formulas for computing the variance and mean squared error of decrement estimators. It is observed that, in small studies, the mean squared error is reduced by counting lives, even if the probability of death depends somewhat on the amount of insurance. From Transactions of Society of Actuaries 1981, Vol. 33.

Description: The authors offer a method for estimating parameters for well-known three-parameter models of force of mortality. The method involves fitting a series of linear regressions, and finding the least-squares estimates of all the parameters by using the Golden Section Search method. From Actuarial Research Clearing House 1993, VOL. 1.

Description: This report looks at closed form models or 'exact solutions' in which calculus produces 'simple' formulae. The conclusion is that for Gaussian interest rate models we can solve the problem of an American option provided the option holder behaviour can be described by a force of option exercise which is linear or quadratic in the state variables.

Description: This paper which was presented at the 1991 Acturial Research Conference explores the use of nonparametric regression methods to estimate medians and other quantiles.

Description: This paper reviews the general methodology of capture-recapture procedures and describes some applications such as estimating the size of the undercount in censuses and estimating the number of duplicate records on in a database. From Actuarial Research Clearing House 2006.

Description: This paper from the Transactions of Society of Actuaries 1964, Vol. 16, Pt. 1, No. 44 AB, reproduces some of Bicknell and Nesbitt's key multiple-decrement theory results by building on a statistical foundation.

Description: This paper addresses the need for obtaining further information about the differences in life insurance persistency or lapsation among companies during the first fifteen years from issue. It also introduces the statistical technique of cluster analysis From Transactions of Society of Actuaries 1981, Vol. 33.