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  • Results From the “2017 Predictive Analytics in Healthcare Trend Forecast”
    avail- able than ever before. Similarly, health care payers and providers may need to start looking ... biggest present and future chal- lenges for the health care industry. ■ Results From the “2017 Predictive ...

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    • Authors: Ian G Duncan
    • Date: Dec 2017
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Technology & Applications>Computer science
  • Forecasting and Futurism, July 2014, Issue 9
    Conversation About the Delphi Study on Long-Term Care Financing Solutions By Ben Wolzenski and Ron Hagelman ... think tanks; and the SOA Delphi Study on Long-Term Care Financing Solutions had a lot of them. Ben Wolzenski ...

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    • Authors: Society of Actuaries
    • Date: Jul 2014
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
  • Book Review: The Wisdom of Crowds by James Surowiecki
    DECISIONS This Trivial Pursuit example amplifies the primary tenet of James Surowiecki’s book that a diverse ... towards finding the one right person to guide and direct them to the right decision. Companies who chose ...

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    • Authors: Scott McInturff
    • Date: Jul 2010
    • Competency: Relationship Management>Staff management and motivation
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Actuarial Profession>Management skills
  • Best Methods and Practices in Judgmental Forecasting
    Economists are no different: judgment is “the primary factor that the economist uses in converting mere ... optimistic and one pessimistic scenario. The primary purpose of a scenario is to constrain judgmental ...

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    • Authors: Alan Mills
    • Date: Jul 2010
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • Kinky Business: Nonlinear Relationships in Linear Models
    proce- dure. To say this another way: for now, we care more about how the smooths fit vs. how the model ... GAM encompasses a wide range of models mak- ing a direct Earth/GAM comparison tricky. However, there are ...

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    • Authors: Nicholas Hanewinckel
    • Date: Jun 2020
    • Competency: Results-Oriented Solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
  • Forecasting & Futurism
    bidding for customers in the commercial health care marketplace, it is important that carriers ensure ... health out- comes (and also reduce their costs of care). That company may have estimated costs appropriately ...

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    • Authors: Society of Actuaries
    • Date: Jul 2015
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
  • Predictive Analytics and Futurism
    several different medications per day1 —some primary meds to combat specific ailments or illnesses, ... others to combat the harmful side effects of the primary (or secondary) meds. Now, we are on the verge ...

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    • Authors: Society of Actuaries
    • Date: Aug 2018
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Predictive Analytics
  • We All Have a Green Heart
    brilliant smile. She greeted the three of us with a direct handshake and eye contact that was neither flickering ... cheaper than they expected, lowered their health care bills, and lowered their life insurance premiums ...

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    • Authors: Anna Bearrood
    • Date: Aug 2019
    • Competency: Results-Oriented Solutions
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Actuarial Profession
  • Predictive Analytics & Futurism, June 2020, Issue 25
    proce- dure. To say this another way: for now, we care more about how the smooths fit vs. how the model ... GAM encompasses a wide range of models mak- ing a direct Earth/GAM comparison tricky. However, there are ...

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    • Authors: Society of Actuaries
    • Date: Jun 2020
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Predictive Analytics
  • Predictive Analytics and Futurism, June 2017, Issue 15
    36 Using Predictive Modeling to Risk- Adjust Primary Care Panel Sizes By Anders Larson 3 From the Editors: ... “Using Predictive Modeling to Risk- Adjust Primary Care Panel Sizes” by Anders Larson: Anders describes ...

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    • Authors: Society of Actuaries
    • Date: Jun 2017
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter