Description: This project would update the Medicaid underwriting model and report to reflect emerging factors that materially impact financial results and Medicaid Managed Care Organization (MCO) risks and incorporate additional up-to-date rate setting and MCO financial data, as well as any new insights within the accompanying report.

Description: Summary in Simplified Chinese

Description: This report provides highlights of a weekly survey of practices regarding the mitigation of the spread of COVID-19 in the U.S. during the week of November 28, 2020. The survey asks about the degree to which the respondents perceive that people in their community are following 21 common mitigation practices. The responses are separated by state and compared to state level statistics regarding the level of COVID-19 infections from the Johns Hopkins COVID database for the same time period.

Description: This report provides highlights of a weekly survey of practices regarding the mitigation of the spread of COVID-19 in the U.S. during the final four months of. The survey asks about the degree to which the respondents perceive that people in their community are following 21 common mitigation practices. The responses are separated by state and compared to state level statistics regarding the level of COVID-19 infections from the Johns Hopkins COVID database for the same time period.

Description: This report provides highlights of a weekly survey of practices regarding the mitigation of the spread of COVID-19 in the U.S. during the final four months of 2020 and the first four months of 2021. The survey asks about the degree to which the respondents perceive that people in their community are following 21 common mitigation practices. The responses are separated by state and compared to state level statistics regarding the level of COVID-19 infections from the Johns Hopkins COVID database for the same time period.

Description: Using data from the Health & Retirement Study [HRS], a two-part medical claim prediction model is estimated for a cohort of survey respondents approaching Medicare-eligibility age. A High Deductible Health Plan [HDHP] with a companion Health Savings Account [HSA] is applied to simulated claims streams to model the build-up of HSA assets over the near-retirement years. Results show that the HSA is a grossly inadequate savings vehicle to provide for retiree medical care expenses at age 65. Moreover, HSA adequacy worsens exponentially with diminishing health status. Based on this simulation, it is apparent that Baby Boomers cannot adequately provide for the costs of medical care in retirement using HSAs exclusively.

Description: Prescription drug affordability remains a critical concern for consumers, payers and policymakers alike. This paper discusses an alternative to policy solutions: reimagining commercial pharmacy financing using a value-based reimbursement model to increase transparency, encourage pharmaceutical competition, align stakeholder incentives and mitigate total cost of care (TCOC) increases.

Description: The Society of Actuaries (SOA) published its first COVID-19 research brief on March 10, 2020, followed by regular updates and expansions through June 12, 2020. The comprehensive report includes a section of Key Statistics. On July 24, 2020, the SOA released a report showing updates through July 22 to selected graphs from or related to the Key Statistics section of the comprehensive report. This report provides similar updates through August 9, 2020.

Description: This paper describes a computer package for analyzing AIDS data named AIDS-PAC that: 1. adjusts AIDS case counts to account for reporting delay, 2. estimates the size of the HIV infected population, 3. provides short-term forecasts of the extent of the AIDS epidemic. Actuarial Research Clearing House 1991 VOL. 1

Description: The object of this paper is to present a theoretical basis for the mathematical graduation of continuance data for both elementary and combined benefits, and to demonstrate the methods of utilizing the theory to derive claim costs for a wide variety of benefits. From Transactions of Society of Actuaries 1959, Vol. 11, No. 31.