Description: This 1979 session is about recent advances in Prediction Theory. Topics included: 1. Statistical methods to predict path properties of a Time Series. 2. How and to what extent Box-Jenkins Time Series methods can be modified to predict two or more time series simultaneously. 3. Workable techniques that are already being successfully used in practice.

Description: An increasing need exists for the actuary to provide ranges and frequency distributions of possible values instead of providing only mean values. This discussion will cover: projections of asset experience under various economic scenarios, a practical application of profit analysis using scenarios and a deterministic model, exploring possible values by means of stochastic modeling, and a description of the new life contingencies textbook's stochastic approach and application to some practical population and census problems. From Record of the Society of Actuaries 1981, Volume 7, No. 4.

Description: Panel discussion of alternative approaches to the design of reserve standards, to include those topics discussed in several recent papers and committee reports.

Description: This presentation is a concurrent session from the 1980 Annual Meeting of the Society of Actuaries, held October 20-22 in Montreal. This session was arranged by the American Statistical Association, ‘ASA,’ and the five panelists are biostatisticians, the moderator being the sole actuary. It is the result of efforts by the ASA and SOA to work together and provide sessions at each other’s meetings. The panelists discuss specialized techniques developed for making greater use of noninsurance studies such as medical follow-ups and clinical trial analyses, which may, because of their nature, involve relatively small groups, and compare them with the more traditional actuarial methodology. Discussion from participants is included. From the Record of Society of Actuaries, Volume 6, No. 4.

Description: From a session at the Spring meeting of the Society of Actuaries held in San Antonio, Texas, June 14-15, 2004 This session covers different methods for estimating future volatility of financial markets, how to predict the effect of volatility on insurance company results, alternative approaches to managing volatility and the impact on volatility management on the choice of modeling method.

Description: From a session at the Spring regional meeting of the Society of Actuaries held in Atlanta, Georgia, May 24-25, 1999 Presenters offer a preview of an actual Course 7 dealing with applied modeling.

Description: 1994 SOA Spring Meeting, Orlando. In this session the panelists debated the diversity of professional practice about how companies and regulators can and should measure profit and set standards for profit margins. One panelist spoke of the traditional actuarial perspective, while the other represented the modern theory of finance.

Description: This presentation is a concurrent session from the 1991 Meeting of the Society of Actuaries, held April 18-19 in New Orleans. The panel will discuss the approaches and techniques used for pricing and modeling insurance products, including commercial software, internal systems, maintenance issues, staff training, and asset/liability systems. Discussion from participants is included. From the Record of Society of Actuaries, Volume 17, No. 1.

Description: From a session at the Spring regional meeting of the Society of Actuaries held in Atlanta, Georgia, May 24-25, 1999 Year 2000 and Beyond: Society of Actuaries New Course: Applied Modeling Demonstration Charts 1 & 2 from that presentation

Description: From a session at a meeting of the Society of Actuaries held in Las Vegas, NV May 22-24, 2000 This session features a presentation by a nontraditional actuary who offers a mathematical look at gambling. The speaker discusses his experience with actuarial consulting pertaining to the study of old and new forms of casino gambling.