Description: An introductory article describing how Bayesian statistics has evolved over the past 20 years and why it offers the actuarial discipline powerful tools to better understand and manage risk. Compared with traditional (frequentist) and black-box (machine learning) approaches, Bayesian analysis provides explainable models focused on distributions of estimates instad of simply point estimates.

Description: The 2024 Dangerous Risks survey shows respondents react to recent increases in "old favorite" risks as technology evolves and the environment moves away from the pandemic.

Description: How insurers can include a liquidity score and liquidity stress scenarios as part of their asset liability management (ALM) protocol.

Description: The mismatch between how interest rate impacts the value of assets and liabilities could have material negative impact to companies’ earnings and surplus. To quantify and mitigate the impact of such mismatches, companies have used matching a combination of duration and convexity. I will review these measurement techniques and their limitations.

Description: The article is authored by the chair of the Joint Risk Management Section and provides an update of recent changes relevant to members of the council, as well as interested non-members.

Description: Regular update provided by the Chair of the Joint Risk Management Section on initiatives put forth by the section council for the current year.

Description: Duration matching is a risk management strategy, commonly used in the insurance industry, where the duration (price sensitivity to a yield curve movement) of an asset portfolio is adjusted to be made equal to the duration of the liability. However, this approach has flaws. In this essay, I note some key failures of duration matching and offer a potential alternative.

Description: Chairperson's introduction to the Joint Risk Management Section (JRMS) February 2022 Risk Management newsletter. Includes a brief description of the JRMS section, summarizes the portfolio of benefits and continuing education opportunities available for those in the risk management profession, discusses the role of the JRMS Council to lead the efforts to provide those benefits and touches on changes underway.

Description: Results of the 2020 survey on the effects of the Pandemic

Description: Risk management techniques do not include system science. System science requires that the uncertainty of the world is incorporated into the results. The articles explains the difference between risk and uncertainty. Learn how risk practices create an overoptimistic view of future outcomes.