Description: Describes a process to develop a good forecast. Also provides an example.

Description: Discover the impact of COVID-19 on member costs post diagnosis and the future of mortality in this Emerging Long Term COVID-19 Trends webcast. This webcast will be split up into Health and Life portions. During the Health portion of this webcasts, you will learn more about the impact on risk scores due to recent findings. Enjoy this discussion and further dive into the emerging COVID-19 trends that may affect how you conduct business practices. At the Life portion, the SOA Research Institute assembled a panel of mortality experts who will express opinions on the effects of the U.S. mortality rate for general, insured and pension populations in the short-term.

Description: CMS has required hospitals to publish their chargemaster rates, cash discounts and negotiated rates as of January 1, 2021. Our panel is comprised of a data strategist, an executive from a large hospital system and an actuary.

Description: You will be reminded how to spot and avoid statistical biases and fallacies that are common to health care actuarial data and problems. We plan to explain various statistical biases and fallacies and for each show one or two examples of how they might pop up in healthcare data and what strategies can be used to avoid/account for them. Likely topics include simpson's paradox, regression to the mean, base rate fallacy, sampling bias, survivor bias, Berkson's fallacy, and others.

Description: Analyzing large quantities of raw complex data is often a challenge in the health care industry. During this webcast, there will be a demonstration of how unsupervised machine learning techniques can be applied to such data to help bring useful insights. This will include examples that use unsupervised learning techniques spanning dimensionality reduction, clustering and anomaly detection.

Description: Discuss various analytics and use cases using payer published reimbursement contract data under federal mandate of Transparency in Coverage. These contract rates are publicly available in machine readable format (MRF) starting July 1, 2022, and refreshed monthly. By attending the session, you will have a better understanding of the state-of-art development and analytics using MRF data, including the technologies used to extract and analyze huge MRF files, validation and limitations of published rates, and their use cases.

Description: "Discuss research conducted at the Cleveland Clinic to understand levels of anxiety and depression across Northeast Ohio. Specifically, learn how advanced analytical techniques were utilized with social media data from Twitter and Google to estimate the need for psychological support by geography and overtime. The panel will go further to demonstrate how natural language processing (NLP) and machine learning could be used to make operational decisions at a leading health care provider."

Description: Explore a brief overview of federal income taxation of health insurers and selected technical tax topics during this panel discussion webcast. You'll dive into the evolution of heath insurers and healthcare-related services and the arising questions regarding their risk-bearing activities, as well as whether or not certain types of healthcare businesses qualify as "insurance companies" for federal income tax purposes. Also, expect to learn about loss reserves for guaranteed renewable contracts and how they can affect insurance company tax status. This webcast will continue to highlight how the IRS challenges loss reserves of health insurers as the panelists review the status of tax cases, IRS guidance and recent IRS activity regarding "margins."

Description: Discuss changes in group life waiver of premium claim recovery and mortality experience since the 2005 table was released, the development of the 2023 table, and the new statutory valuation standard approved by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC).