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Simulating A Predictive Multivariate Total Claim Distribution With Excel VBA
Simulating A Predictive Multivariate Total Claim Distribution With Excel VBA In this paper we propose a model that can be used to analyze correlated claims data. In the process we introduce a ...- Authors: Rohana Ambagaspitiya
- Date: Jul 2007
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Problem analysis and definition
- Topics: Health & Disability; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Bayesian methods; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Simulation
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Estimating Probability of a Cyber-Security Breach
Estimating Probability of a Cyber-Security Breach The purpose of this paper is to define a predictive model, based on known system attributes, for assessing risk associated with information ...- Authors: Society of Actuaries, Arkady Shemyakin, Meghan Anthony, Maria Ishmael, Erik William Santa, Natalie Vandeweghe, Gary Stanull
- Date: Dec 2016
- Competency: Strategic Insight and Integration
- Publication Name: Risk Management
- Topics: Enterprise Risk Management; Health & Disability>Health information technology; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Bayesian methods; Predictive Analytics; Technology & Applications>Analytics and informatics
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Conjugate Bayesian Analysis of the Negative Binomial Distribution
Conjugate Bayesian Analysis of the Negative Binomial Distribution The purpose of this paper is to perform conjugate Bayesian analysis on the negative binomial distribution with the goal of ...- Authors: James C Hickman
- Date: Jan 1993
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Actuarial Research Clearing House
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Bayesian methods
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The Case of the Miscoded FHA Single Family Mortgage Records
The Case of the Miscoded FHA Single Family Mortgage Records This paper describes an analysis of data anomalies on computer records on 246 federally-insured mortgages. Twenty-three of the ...- Authors: Thomas Herzog
- Date: Jan 1997
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Actuarial Research Clearing House
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Bayesian methods
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A Set of Bayesian Models for Analysis of Claim Lags
A Set of Bayesian Models for Analysis of Claim Lags This paper presents Bayesian models for analysis of claim lag data. The analysis of claim runoff patterns investigate the extraction of ...- Authors: Dale Lamps
- Date: Jan 2003
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Actuarial Research Clearing House
- Topics: Health & Disability>Health insurance; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Bayesian methods
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Actuaries as Heroes
Actuaries as Heroes Book review of The Theory That Would Not Die: How Bayes’ Rule Cracked the Enigma Code, Hunted Down Russian Submarines and Emerged Triumphant from Two Centuries of Controversy ...- Authors: Jay Jaffe
- Date: Dec 2013
- Competency: Communication>Written communication
- Publication Name: The Actuary Magazine
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Bayesian methods
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Credibility and Health Insurance
Credibility and Health Insurance Presented at October 2000 Annual Meeting. This is a brief summary of a tutorial on the application of credibility theory to health insurance. The concept of ...- Authors: Thomas Herzog
- Date: Oct 2000
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Record of the Society of Actuaries
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Bayesian methods
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Predicting the Rate of Non-Acceptable In-Patient Hospital Utilization
Predicting the Rate of Non-Acceptable In-Patient Hospital Utilization Abstract from a paper that describes results from a hierarchical Bayesian statistical model which predicts the probability of ...- Authors: Marjorie Rosenberg
- Date: Jan 1995
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Actuarial Research Clearing House
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Bayesian methods
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Bayesian Fair Experience Premium Under Linear Exponential Likelihoods And Conjugate Priors
Bayesian Fair Experience Premium Under Linear Exponential Likelihoods And Conjugate Priors A discussion of the point wise convergence of the Bayesian point estimates under conjugate priors ...- Authors: Zia Rehman
- Date: Apr 2001
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
- Publication Name: Actuarial Research Clearing House
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Bayesian methods
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Using Expert Opinion In Actuarial Science - Why Am I The Last One?
Using Expert Opinion In Actuarial Science - Why Am I The Last One? Presentation from the 2006 41st Actuarial Research Conference focusing on the declining usage of expert opinions in the ...- Authors: Michel Jacques, Mathieu Pigeon
- Date: Jan 2007
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Incorporate risk management
- Topics: Actuarial Profession>Competencies; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Bayesian methods