Description: An introductory article describing how Bayesian statistics has evolved over the past 20 years and why it offers the actuarial discipline powerful tools to better understand and manage risk. Compared with traditional (frequentist) and black-box (machine learning) approaches, Bayesian analysis provides explainable models focused on distributions of estimates instad of simply point estimates.

Description: Actuaries are leveraging predictive modeling and machine learning more and more as they strive to provide greater value to their stakeholders. Actuarial standards of practice provide guidance around modeling and data. The world has changed significantly over the last few years, so it is important these models be tested for fairness as well as any statistical biases. This article addresses some of the key issues actuaries need to be aware of as Corporations and society work through the responsible us of this technology and underlying data.

Description: We compare two predictive analytics methods - GLM and GBM in terms of predictiveness vs. interpretability.

Description: This article is the final installment of our three-part series on economic scenario generators (“ESGs”). Part I and II were published in the November 2019 and August 2020 issues of The Modeling Platform. Part III contextualizes the framework for selecting, building, and validating ESGs and focuses on the Academy Interest Rate Generator (“AIRG”), the most commonly used real-world ESG for US actuaries

Description: Overview about the information covered in the Predictive Analytics Certificate and how that is useful for actuaries.

Description: 1998 SOA Annual Meeting, New York. Panelists discussed the activity of the newly emerging mutual holding company structure. Advantages and disadvantages of a MHC structure were addressed.

Description: Describes four papers that provide excellent overviews of rather different topics that should be of considerable value to practicing actuaries interested in being informed about activity on the frontier of actuarial science and still important today.

Description: 1993 SOA Spring Meeting, Boston. This session addressed the problems unique to mutual companies. Topics addressed included: 1. In search of capital. 2. Merger/acquisition considerations. 3. The demutualization alternative. 4. Profit crunch. 5. Joint ventures. 6. Lessons from other countries - Canada, Mexico, Britain.

Description: Article explores why many integrated delivery systems are struggling and what actions they need to take to succeed.