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  • A Rainbow of Opportunities
    A Rainbow of Opportunities Short descriptions of the various articles in the June issue. Predictive ... meeting, like the Health section, the Life and Annuity folks, and the Valuation actuaries. Dave describes ...

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    • Authors: David Snell, Kevin Jones
    • Date: Jun 2017
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
  • Substitute One Mis-impression
    Substitute One Mis-impression The authors take a deeper look at the long-standing motto of ... the obvious ‘big three’ study note topics of mortality, interest and expenses. Our mod- els do an excellent ...

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    • Authors: David Snell, Hezhong Ma
    • Date: Nov 2012
    • Competency: Leadership>Thought leadership; Strategic Insight and Integration>Big picture view; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Incorporate risk management
    • Publication Name: Actuary of the Future
    • Topics: Actuarial Profession; Pensions & Retirement>Risk management
  • Big Data or Infinite Data?
    Big Data or Infinite Data? History of Big Data, and approaches to cope with it. The author ... our experience with graduation tech- niques, mortality ta- ble construction, demography, complex variables ...

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    • Authors: David Snell
    • Date: Dec 2015
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Predictive Analytics
  • Warm and Fuzzy ... And Real!
    (the solid line). According to the underlying table from the SOA Record, this would mean that they ... changed significantly since 1996. Chart built from Table in SOA Record, Vol. 22, p.21 and modified for this ...

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    • Authors: David Snell
    • Date: Jul 2014
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
  • Review of Actuarial Exam Tactics – Learn More, Study Less
    Review of Actuarial Exam Tactics – Learn More, Study Less Review of an excellent new guide to ... interpolation was used on the American Experience table of 1936 for males between ages 30 and 35. When ...

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    • Authors: David Snell
    • Date: Nov 2017
    • Competency: Strategic Insight and Integration>Big picture view; Strategic Insight and Integration>Effective decision-making; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions
    • Publication Name: Actuary of the Future
    • Topics: Actuarial Profession>Professional associations
  • Warm and Fuzzy...and Real! - Part 2
    consequent) i.e., condition(s) and the resulting implication(s) from the condition(s). DECEMBER 2014 FORECASTING ... wikipedia.org/wiki/Kurt_G%C3%B6del 3 h t tp : / /ac .e l s -cdn .com/S001999586590241X/1-s2 .0 - S001999586590241X-main ...

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    • Authors: David Snell
    • Date: Dec 2014
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
  • Complexity Sciences - Simplified!
    Complexity Sciences - Simplified! Provides a simplified explanation of the modeling and statistical ... been asked to repeat them at the 2011 Life and Annuity Symposium in New Orleans, May 16–17 and at the ...

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    • Authors: David Snell
    • Date: May 2011
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Actuary of the Future
    • Topics: Actuarial Profession>Professional development; Modeling & Statistical Methods
  • Complexity Sciences—Simplified!
    Complexity Sciences—Simplified! The author discusses the two-part presentation on complexity ... them. We were asked to repeat them at the Life & Annuity Symposium in New Orleans, May 16–17, and at the ...

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    • Authors: David Snell
    • Date: Jul 2011
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods
  • Master of Accurate Calculations...Really?
    Master of Accurate Calculations...Really? Issue overview and editorial on how the actuary of today ... ‘“best estimate” assumptions about interest, mortality, and expens- es. That three-factor approach was ...

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    • Authors: David Snell
    • Date: Dec 2014
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
  • New Tools and Techniques for Actuaries Living in a Complex World
    New Tools and Techniques for Actuaries Living in a Complex World The author provides an overview ... boundary conditions) and then randomly assign a case table of actions for various conditions. Run several ...

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    • Authors: David Snell
    • Date: May 2012
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Actuary of the Future
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Deterministic models