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Real-World Interest Rate Models and Current Practices
Orduña, Marshall Lin and Jean-Philippe Larochelle A s actuaries we often find ourselves focusing on the ... substantially in the last decade as life and annuity products have become more complex. The need for ...- Authors: Jean-Philippe Larochelle, Marshall Lin, Francisco Orduna
- Date: Jul 2015
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
- Topics: Economics>Financial economics; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Scenario generation; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Stochastic models
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Actuarial Sciences and Uncertainties
actuaries have applied stochastic models to mortality and other processes in order to get a measure ... in June 1989. Dear Edith: Medicine in the Year 2000 I found Harry M. Oliver, Jt’s, article in the ...- Authors: Francisco Bayo
- Date: May 1988
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: The Actuary Magazine
- Topics: Actuarial Profession; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Stochastic models
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A Handful of Economic Capital Model Observations
and use of economic capital (EC) mod-els in the U.S. have certainly moved forward since the models were ... assumption. For instance, a “1 in 200 year” mortality assumption could lead the actuary to an influenza ...- Authors: David M Walczak
- Date: Nov 2019
- Competency: Results-Oriented Solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Risk Management
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Conditional Tail Expectation; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Modeling efficiency; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Stochastic models
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Interactions Between Dynamic Lapses and Interest Rates in Stochastic Modeling
the Policyholder Behavior in the Tail Variable Annuity Guaranteed Benefits Survey/C3 phase II 2009 Results ... withdrawal benefit (GMWB) rider on a variable annuity contract for example: Is it the Guaranteed Withdrawal ...- Authors: Yuhong Xue
- Date: Jun 2010
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge
- Publication Name: Product Matters!
- Topics: Annuities>Variable annuities; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Stochastic models
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Quantifying Pandemic Risk
potential impact that specific types of adverse mortality and morbidity risk—such as a pandemic— may ... Services (HHS).1 These scenarios provide both mortality and morbidity estimates that are useful for ...- Authors: Nita Madhav, James Fullam
- Date: Jan 2015
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations; Strategic Insight and Integration>Big picture view
- Publication Name: The Actuary Magazine
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Deterministic models; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Stochastic models
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A Computation Method for Discounting Stochastic Scenarios Under IFRS 17
path-dependent discounting for scenarios. IFRS 17's requirement to discount best-estimate cashflows using ... a technique for calibrating each of the scenario's cashflows so that they can be discounted with other ...- Date: Sep 2019
- Competency: Results-Oriented Solutions
- Publication Name: The Financial Reporter
- Topics: Financial Reporting & Accounting; Financial Reporting & Accounting>International Financial Reporting Standards [IFRS]; Modeling & Statistical Methods; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Stochastic models
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Critical Review of Stochastic Simulation Literature and Applications for Health Actuaries
However, a recent call for proposals for modeling mortality and lapse risks in life insurance shows an expanded ... of simulation model, multi-state, dynamic life-table models (of which the PopMod model used by Lauer ...- Authors: Louise H Anderson, Ian G Duncan, Katherine Hall, Brian C Martinson
- Date: Sep 2007
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations; External Forces & Industry Knowledge>External forces and business performance
- Topics: Enterprise Risk Management; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Dynamic simulation models; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Markov Chain; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Modeling efficiency; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Stochastic models
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Are Your Scenarios on Target?
basis for the scenarios, the assumed distribution(s) for parametric approaches or statisti- cal sampling ... Black-Scholes option implied volatility (Heston and Nandi 2000). If even more realism is required, i.e., combining ...- Authors: Application Administrator
- Date: Aug 2005
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial theory in business context
- Publication Name: Risks & Rewards
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Stochastic models
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Arithmetic vs. Geometric Mean Returns
vs. Geometric Mean Returns by Douglas C. Doll Mortality Arbitage—Life and SPIA by Douglas C. Doll Features ... consumer/agent toarbitrage the difference in mortality assumptions between life products and single premium ...- Authors: Douglas Doll
- Date: Apr 2003
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
- Publication Name: Product Matters!
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Scenario generation; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Stochastic models
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Implementing the Longstaff-Schwartz Model
credibility is about 10^s (within perhaps one half an order of magnitude) and s is dimensionality, we see ... interpolation of estimated bond prices. H = UΛU’ where, U:= matrix of eigenvectors, the first four principal ...- Authors: L SS
- Date: Oct 2002
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial theory in business context
- Publication Name: Risks & Rewards
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Stochastic models