Description: This paper presents a unifying non-Bayesian statistical method for incorporating prior information into the determination of probability distributions and other finite measures and develops the statistical properties of this method together with actuarial applications. A discussion of the paper follows. From Transactions of Society of Actuaries 1991, Vol. 43.

Description: This paper presents an introduction to collective risk theory. In collective risk theory one seeks to investigate directly the risk enterprise as a whole. Primary interest is focused not upon the gains, losses, or claims from individual policies but upon the amount of total claims or the total gain arising from all the policies in the portfolio considered. Followed by several discussion papers submitted.

Description: This paper surveys the actuarial techniques connected with salary scale mathematics for the valuation of defined benefit pension plans. Followed by several discussion papers submitted

Description: This paper describes risk-factor-dependent multiple decrements and actuarial cost functions as a general compartment model, a discrete time and discrete state stochastic model of morbidity and mortality processes. For large numbers of risk factors, the model is extended to its natural continuous time and state form. From Transactions of Society of Actuaries 1991, Vol. 43.

Description: This paper develops explicit relationships connecting these reserve bases, and, in the course of this development, derives several new and interesting actuarial relationships, all of which can be generalized to the case of monthly premium payment computations. Followed by a discussion paper submitted

Description: This paper defines a general model for arbitrary units and gives formulas for computing the variance and mean squared error of decrement estimators. It is observed that, in small studies, the mean squared error is reduced by counting lives, even if the probability of death depends somewhat on the amount of insurance. From Transactions of Society of Actuaries 1981, Vol. 33.

Description: This paper addresses the need for obtaining further information about the differences in life insurance persistency or lapsation among companies during the first fifteen years from issue. It also introduces the statistical technique of cluster analysis From Transactions of Society of Actuaries 1981, Vol. 33.

Description: This paper is an attempt to examine transmission and incubation period models. Results are used to estimate the risk of HIV+ exposure of an individual company and the resulting reserve needs. From Transactions of Society of Actuaries 1989, Vol. 41.

Description: A simplified model adapts very easily to simulation by a computer, and this is what the author has done with several selected pairs of probability distributions in order to calculate the probability of a casualty company's being ruined shortly after its establishment. From Transactions of Society of Actuaries 1969, Vol. 21, Pt. 1, No. 61.

Description: This paper presents best upper and lower bounds on the expected value of an insurance payment under the terms of a contract written on a random loss with known moments. From Transactions of Society of Actuaries 1991, Vol. 43.