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  • Complexity Science Enters the Actuarial Classrooms
    Complexity Science Enters the Actuarial Classrooms The author discusses expectations for incoming ... to classical economic or actuarial theory. The primary focus, of course, for us still is making sure ...

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    • Authors: Min Deng
    • Date: Jul 2011
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Actuarial Profession
  • Forecasting & Futurism - July 2012 Issue
    charge, with the exclusion of variables that have direct unemployment information. Many actuaries are tempted ... mixed effect model, GARCH, etc. Although the direct application of lin- ear regression and time series ...

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    • Authors: Society of Actuaries
    • Date: Jul 2012
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
  • Creating a Useful Training Dataset for Predictive Modeling
    from the health care world. LIMITATIONS ON PATIENTS WITH CLAIMS HISTORIES Accountable care organizations ... For instance, in a model that predicts health care costs, this time period would be used to determine ...

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    • Authors: Anders Larson
    • Date: Dec 2016
    • Competency: Professional Values>Practice expertise; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Problem analysis and definition; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Predictive Analytics; Technology & Applications>Analytics and informatics
  • A NEAT Approach to Neural Network Structure
    Kenneth Stanley of Houston University is the primary researcher behind NEAT and many of its adap- tations ... testing or actually in use. ES HyperNEAT NEAT’s primary feature is that we no longer have to think about ...

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    • Authors: Jeff T Heaton
    • Date: Dec 2013
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Problem analysis and definition
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Technology & Applications>Analytics and informatics; Technology & Applications>Business intelligence; Technology & Applications>Computer science
  • Making Predictive Analytics Our Own
    based on the assumption that the average health care costs will increase by 5 percent next year only ... than actuaries. In my area of practice, health care, the focus of these roles has been to produce studies ...

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    • Authors: Joan Barrett
    • Date: Dec 2016
    • Competency: Results-Oriented Solutions
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
  • Five Years is a Lifetime
    underwriting procedures. Today, the Affordable Care Act has made these strategies largely prohibited ... (strategies and tactics related to the Affordable Care Act’s risk mitigation programs—af- fectionately ...

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    • Authors: Douglas Norris
    • Date: Dec 2014
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
  • Predictive Analytics and Futurism, August 2019, Issue 21
    semi-supervised GAN, using Keras and TensorFlow, for health care data. AN INTRODUCTION TO THE GENERATIVE ADVERSARIAL ... brilliant smile. She greeted the three of us with a direct handshake and eye contact that was neither flickering ...

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    • Authors: Society of Actuaries
    • Date: Aug 2019
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Actuarial Profession; Predictive Analytics
  • Risk Adjustment: Retrospective Chart Chase
    demographic information, drug patterns, lab results, past care, and other characteristics. A predictive model ... at how members evolve over time with episodes of care, and where others ended up based on this same trajectory ...

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    • Authors: Dale Cap
    • Date: Nov 2020
    • Competency: Strategic Insight and Integration; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Actuarial Profession; FinTech & InsurTech
  • Standing Room Only! Complexity Grows at Annual Meeting
    presentation on “Modeling Complex Systems in Health Care.” He talked about the strengths and weaknesses ... serious games—to solve actuarial problems in health care. Obviously, this year saw a turning point in actuarial ...

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    • Authors: David Snell
    • Date: Jan 2012
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Economics>Behavioral economics; Finance & Investments>Asset liability management; Modeling & Statistical Methods
  • SVD of Weighted or Missing Data
    SVD of Weighted or Missing Data Matrix decomposition techniques are used to find main features ... noise removal from astronomical images. A more direct link to statistical models is shown in Fore- casting ...

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    • Authors: Brian Holland
    • Date: Jul 2015
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations; External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial theory in business context
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Experience Studies & Data