Description: An overview of the articles in the November 2019 issue of The Modeling Platform, and a plea for submissions! Please! Send us articles!

Description: This paper derives limited fluctuations credibility results for the Generalized Linear Model GLM and the extended case of generalized linear mixed model GLMM. It shows how credibility depends on the sample size, the distribution of covariates, and the link function. This provides a mechanism to obtain confidence intervals for the GLM and GLMM estimators.

Description: The Delphi Method is discussed in detail. The method attempts to filter out the consensus bias that can result from societal forces by employing a technique whereby an anonymous collection of opinions is used, supplemented by feedback loops that can be used to influence outcomes.

Description: This paper outlines how an actuarial student studied to comprehend the stationary population. It outlines several articles her liked particularly well.

Description: In estimating mortality rates from the experience of a life insurance company or employee-benefit plan, it is expedient, because of the movement into and out of the covered group on dates other than birthdays or policy anniversaries, to make some assumption about mortality over a fractional part of a year of age. This paper describes and develops the concept of 'exposure' with regard to the more commonly known methods of estimating the rate of mortality, and proposes a fourth methodology. From the Actuarial Research Clearing House 1978, Vol.2.

Description: An overview of the formation of the Committee of Professional Associations on Federal Statistics, initiated by the Joint Ad Hoc Committee on Government Statistics, in response to the need for statistical advisory committees to government agencies to promote better data collection and dissemination, contracting, forms clearance, planning, coordination, monitoring, staffing, and strengthening of agency functions.

Description: Book Review from The Actuary, September 1989 – Volume 23, No. 8. Actuarial Mathematics by N. Bowers. H. Gerber. J. Hickman, D. Jones and C. Nesbitt. Published by the Society of Actuaries, 1986.

Description: This article provides an overview of the commonly used structural credit risk modeling approach that is less familiar to the actuarial community.

Description: This article talks about the role that models played in the subprime meltdown and the subsequent crisis in the financial markets in general. The models failed to provide information about the magnitude of potential 'black swans'. Extreme Value Theory [EVT] is described as a potential solution to this error.

Description: Article Disparate Origins Of Life And Non-Life Insurances by Beard in The Actuary, February 1979, Volume 13, Number 2