Description: "COVID-19 and excess mortality: an actuarial study – Camille Delbrouck, Aon Benfield, Belgium, Jennifer Alonso-García, Department of Mathematics, Université Libre de Bruxelles, Belgium, ARC Centre of Excellence in Population Ageing Research (CEPAR), UNSW Sydney, Australia Netspar, The Netherlands How did COVID-19 change the dependence structure across major causes of death – Han Li, Ph.D., Associate Professor, Centre for Actuarial Studies | Faculty of Business and Economics, The University of Melbourne, Victoria, Australia"

Description: Navigate a perspective on the process of developing estimates and projections of mortality rates, based on a Living to 100 paper by the teacher. Discover the approach and considerations an actuary (or others) can take to develop a mortality rate assumption for five time periods. It will describe techniques to estimate historical mortality rates from which to project future mortality rates.

Description: Getting people to think beyond retirement about future care needs and how they will be paid for is critical for a healthy aging plan. However, most people avoid the topic and make rushed decisions when finding long-term care services. Hear from experts in this advisory field explain what a successful plan looks like and what it takes to get people to plan ahead.

Description: "Issues surrounding end-of-life and palliative care are not well understood and there is little research in the actuarial literature. From an actuarial perspective, however, end-of-life is important because of the significant cost to the healthcare system. Ian Duncan will discuss some of his research on the financial implications of end-of-life care, as well as the outcomes of a palliative care program. Dr. Matzo is an engaging personality with decades of experience in gerontology and palliative nursing, including training and teaching professionals in the field. Dr. Matzo focuses on educating the public on the importance and benefits of palliative care and hospice (care given in the final six months of life). In this session on “Palliative Care Public Education,” Dr. Matzo will give us an overview of the benefits of palliative care and how this knowledge empowers the individual to make important decisions about their healthcare options. Attendees will have the opportunity to discuss the role that the actuarial profession may play in this area."

Description: "Weighted compositional data analysis for modeling and forecasting life-table death counts – Han Lin Shang, Ph.D., Professor of Business Analytics and Director of Research at the Department of Actuarial Studies and Business Analytics at Macquarie Business School, Macquarie University, Sydney, Australia, Steven Haberman, PhD, Bayes Business School, City University of London, UK Compensation Effect of Mortality as a Challenge to Life Extension – Natalia S. Gavrilova, Ph.D., Leonid A. Gavrilov, Ph.D. Academic Research Centers, NORC at the University of Chicago"

Description: The first preliminary results on international experience studies on mortality and persistency for the pilot countries of Taiwan, Mexico and South Korea are discussed and future expansion of the studies are explained.

Description: This graph indicates the overall historical trend in life expectancy at age 65.

Description: A recent study sheds light on the measurement and implications of the relationship between increased morbidity and declining disability. The results were not consistent across all populations. This study of the compression of morbidity is part of a wider project called the M-project, led by the four authors, which aims to explore the demographic factors leading to an increase in the adult longevity, investigate the phenomenon called the compression of mortality and develop a new methodological approach to longevity analysis with focus on the modal age at death M.

Description: Explore a general overview of the Medicare Advantage VBID hospice model, including program goal and a brief review of available information on plan participation in 2021 and 2022. Join us to learn how the program can support other elements related to health equity and address social determinants of health. You will be able to focus on how to improve quality of life and care using palliative, concurrent and/or transitional care and hospice services. Elevate your understanding with a summary of publicly available hospice experience data published by CMS, as well as a review of published research by the SOA and others related to hospice and end of life care. Finally, expect technical guidance regarding VBID model financial implications and proposed enhancements to the program as CMS transitions from the current model due to expire at end of 2024.

Description: SARS-CoV2 will impact our post-pandemic future. Morbidity more than mortality will impact the life and health business in the mid-term. But how does this temporary disruption in health care elicit long-tail implications on other common diseases and changes in lifestyles? Find out how mid-term pricing could be affected using one case scenario and also show how mental health will particularly shape the post-pandemic future (individually and societal), not only due to long COVID. Review the experience of the insured policies and discuss future ideas for COVID-19 research at the Society of Actuaries Research Institute. Consider recent causes of death studies, as well as reported claims analyses to help expedite the analysis of recent experience. Join us where experts from both the medical and actuarial disciplines join forces to discuss this important topic.