Description: A panel of actuaries and clinical consultants at this session of the SOA 2003 Vancouver Spring Meeting provides an assessment of current and future applications of predictive modeling techniques in the health arena. A practical example of risk adjustment, discussion of the clinical use of this technique, and applications in underwriting are discussed.

Description: This is a series of 4 articles designed to address fundamental concepts such as GAAP rules and their application to some of the major accident and health lines of business offered by insurers. The first article begins with a review of the structure/hierarchy of generally accepted accounting principles GAAP. From Society of Actuaries Financial Reporting Monograph, M-AS99-1.

Description: This session will address the increased cases of managed care in Medicaid states. This will include some indication of how utilization patterns differ for those populations versus commercial populations. From the Record of the Society of Actuaries, Vol. 21, No. 3b.

Description: This discussion at the SOA 1966 Annual Meeting is about various aspects of group life and health insurance including disclosure forms, interest rates, group life maximums, disability insurance, and Medicare.

Description: This article discusses the growing number of cases of dementia and its effects on economics and loved ones.

Description: Healthcare costs have been rising faster than general inflation for many years. Early models that predicted this past pattern projected healthcare expenditure growth that continued to outpace total expenditure growth leading to the fallacious position that the whole of the US economy would ultimately be consumed by healthcare. This paper presents a long term healthcare trends resource model, prepared for the Society of Actuaries by Professor Thomas Getzen, that includes capacity constraints to ensure the long-term projection is rational. The motivation for creation of the model was driven by its potential usage as a resource for the estimation of reportable liabilities for retiree healthcare benefits as specified under FAS 106 and GASB 45 accounting statements.

Description: This research report is sponsored by The Society of Actuaries and the Canadian Institute of Actuaries on the Canadian health care system. Performed by Stéphane Levert, FSA, FCIA, the study (available in French and English) estimated the future costs of the Canadian health care system, assessed the sustainability of the system over a 25-year horizon, and analyzed the implications of the changes to the Canada Health Transfer proposed on Dec. 19, 2011 by the federal government. The report summarizing the findings indicates that, without significant government intervention, the Canadian health care system in its current form is not sustainable.

Description: This general discussion looks at mortality experience with the advent of CSO tables, annuity premium tax, termination dividends, classes of agents included under Social Security, and conditions affecting companies entering the fields of disability income, accident, health, hospitalization and medical insurance.

Description: Tree models have been found to provide a good fit to group long term disability recovery and mortality rates. This research paper provides an overview of tree models, and details how they have been used for developing these rates.

Description: The Society of Actuaries' Pension Section and Health Section Research teams commissioned Professor Thomas E. Getzen of Temple University to construct a resource model for the projection of long term healthcare cost trends. The motivation for creation of the model was driven by its potential usage as a resource for the estimation of reportable liabilities for retiree healthcare benefits as specified under FAS 106 and GASB 45 accounting statements. This model, programmed in Microsoft Excel [xlsx format], projects per-person expenditures and growth rates through 2099 using a set of equations and assumptions developed by Professor Getzen with assistance from the Society of Actuaries Project Oversight Group appointed to oversee the effort. The model includes baseline assumptions as well as flexibility for user–inputted alternative assumptions.