Description: Papers: Does Migration Result in Mortality Improvement: A Case Study in Taiwan – Chih-Kai Chang – Feng Chia University; Jack C. Yue – National Chengchi University; Yen-Wen Chen – Feng Chia University Mortality Trends – An International Perspective – Adrian Gallop, FIA – Government Actuaries Department

Description: Populations are aging throughout the world. In all countries, there are many public policy and social issues related to long life from financing to health to social isolation and system supports. This panel will review key recent research and will offer an interactive discussion of some of the most important issues facing policy makers everywhere. To focus the discussion, we will examine these attributes through the lens of social capital. This session will focus on issues facing both developed and developing countries alike and compare and contrast different approaches being taken to address issues and their relative success.

Description: The insurance industry has a lot to learn from academia's missteps. With predictive analytics assuming an ever-expanding role in risk modeling, carriers would be well-served to establish practices that mitigate the creation of faulty models. Hear practical advice on how to mitigate the risks of overfitting, with a focus on how to translate complex policyholder behavior experience data for long-term products into behavioral models using company- and industry-level data.

Description: In this session, morbidity and life expectancy trends are discussed. In addition, a case study in R on how to model the uncertainty associated with incidence of disability, disabled and active deaths and other terminations is presented.

Description: A pension plan uses Actuarial Equivalence to determine a 'fair' adjustment to pension benefits for form and timing of payment. The definition of Actuarial Equivalence is set in the Plan Document which may not have been reviewed for decades. With a wave of recent pension litigation in the U.S., plan sponsors, attorneys and actuaries now pay more attention to how pension plans define Actuarial Equivalence. How does a change in mortality table or interest rate affect the ultimate benefit? What are the requirements under ERISA and pertinent regulations? Are there court cases that have examined this question before? What are the issues behind the recent lawsuits and what can a plan sponsor do now to reduce their legal exposure? What alternative strategies are available for changing or not changing the definition in the plan document?

Description: Despite the slowdown in the economy, premium growth in emerging markets fared relatively well compared to advanced insurance markets. Yet, there exists an enormous range in premium density and penetration between emerging and advanced markets. The presenters explore the demand side and attempt to lay out possible solutions to narrow the protection gap.

Description: The presenters will highlight differences in mortality that result from socioeconomic issues. Topics will include the differences in cause-specific mortality among different socioeconomic classes, trends in these gaps over time, and recommendations for reducing inequalities in life expectancy in the future.

Description: This session will present the findings published in the report released by the SOA on the March 23, 2020, the 10th anniversary of the ACA.This session will provide an assessment and commentary on the viability of the individual and Medicaid marketplaces under the ACA since its inception. Observations will be based on a data-driven analysis of the associations between market characteristics and measureable outcomes indicative of viability. Viability will be measured in the context of achieving the ACA's goal of providing sustainable access to affordable healthcare to the uninsured and underinsured, and will be considered from the perspectives of various stakeholders.

Description: The presenters will provide an update on discount rates developed from the expected return on assets used in going concern pension funding. They will include recent research on discount rates being used for U.S. public sector plans, U.S. Multiple Employer Pension Plans, and Ontario and British Columbia plans. A discussion of the emerging regulatory framework in Canada and the U.S. and changes to ASOP 4 and 27 will also be covered. Components of discount rates such as expenses and margins (PfADs) will also be covered.