Description: Discusses preparations needed, and risks of not preparing, for the Year 2000.

Description: Article discussing the use of ERM in today’s economy.

Description: Simultaneous modelling of operational risks occurring in different event type/business line cells poses the challenge for operational risk quantification. Invoking the new concept of Levy copulas for dependence modelling yields simple approximations of high quality for multivariate operational VAR. From 2007 Enterprise Risk Management Symposium, M-AS07-1.

Description: Given the lower incidence rate, use of decision tree techniques like Classification and Regression Tree CART in understanding credit or operational risk becomes quite challenging. A commonly adopted solution is biased sampling approach, where more weights are attached to bad customers to artificially hike the incidence or bad rate. While adopting this type of biased sampling approach, question of the best weight arises. This paper adopts an iterative approach in identifying the best weight. The best weight for bankruptcy BKO profiling problem in hand occurred when the incidence rate was around 50 percent where entropy reaches its maximum.

Description: Demonstrating that incentive maximization could lead to failure using game theory. This is illustrated by the optimum strategy for the Prisoner Dilemma single period, multi period and infinite period that could be mutually destructive or beneficial.

Description: A response to the comments on the paper.

Description: Insurance companies are not immune to liquidity risks.

Description: Discusses a method for division of workload in a consulting firm in a way which will minimize cost.

Description: Presented at May 1985 Spring Meeting. This session discussed: Hurdle rates, Internal rate of return, Payback, Net present value, Lease versus buy decisions, Build versus buy decisions, Application to computer hardware and software decisions, Project budgeting, Post-implementation audit.

Description: This paper demonstrates the potential synergies from applying actuarial techniques to operational risk analysis. It also demonstrates practical techniques, grounded in actuarial science, to solve operational risk management problems such as risk cost allocation and risk mitigation cost-benefit analysis. From 2006 Enterprise Risk Management Symposium, M-AS06-1.