Description: This presentation made up Sessions 1 and 2 at the 1987 Valuation Actuary Symposium. The presenters discuss cash flow analysis in light of the valuation actuary concept. Asset and liability cash flows are looked at under different economic scenarios. Future interest rates, investment and reinvestment strategy are included in the discussion of scenario generation. Stochastic scenarios and the number of scenarios are discussed.

Description: This presentation is a panel discussion, session number 9PD, from the 2000 Valuation Actuary Symposium, held September 14-15 in Washington, DC. A fundamental assumption in stochastic asset/liability modeling is the underlying economic scenario generator. In this session the panelists discuss various scenario generation techniques, assumptions underlying bond and equity scenario generators, and choosing suitable economic scenario generators for different applications. Discussion from participants is included.

Description: Investment Fallacies: The Fable of the Storyteller and the Market

Description: The NAIC Life Risk-Based Capital Working Group has been working on modifications to the C-3 interest rate risk component of the statutory risk-based capital formula. Changes being considered may have a significant impact on the work of the valuation actuary. From the Record of the Society of Actuaries, Vol. 25, No. 3. San Francisco Annual Meeting CA, October 17–20, 1999, Session 33PD.

Description: This is the abstract of the paper Hedging of Insurance Contracts. ls the tinting of liabilities e.g. the IBNR case irrelevant to investment decisions in an insurance company? Even in the extreme case of independence between claim developments and movements in the financial markets, the assumption of constant insurers' absolute measure of risk aversion is necessary for a positive answer to the initial question.

Description: In Volume LXXV of the Proceedings there appeared a paper entitled Risk Loads for Insurers by Feldblum. Confidence intervals for the betas in TABLE 4 [Profit Margins and Their Standard Deviations by Line of Business] of this paper can be generated using the assumption of underlying normal distributions. However, bootstrapping operational or not for interval estimates does not require the normality assumption. The method of operational bootstrapping does not use random numbers. The method for the 4-dimensional case, used to generate the interval estimates in the current paper, is a natural generalization of the bivariate case. I use operational bootstrapping to generate interval estimates for Betas shown in the TABLE 5.

Description: E-book contains 16 topical essays that express the opinions and thoughts of a number of authors on the subject of Investment Fallacies.

Description: This paper illustrates the application of stochastic control methods in managing the risk associated with an insurance business. We present the Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman HJB equation and demonstrate its use in finding the optimal investment strategy based on some given criteria. Here we consider an insurance business with a fixed amount available for investment in a portfolio consisting of one non-risky asset and one risky asset. The object of the resulting control problem is to determine the investment strategy that minimizes infinite time ruin probability. The existence of a solution to the resulting HJB equation is shown. The relevant verification lemma is not presented in this paper and a numerical algorithm is given instead. Examples applied to exponential claims are also presented.

Description: Investment Fallacies: Extended periods of robust macroeconomic growth are healthy for investing.

Description: This session from the 1983 SOA Spring Meeting discusses disintermediation and intermediation risk - C-3 Risk, investment strategy and product design including market value adjusted products. From Record of Society of Actuaries Vol. 9, No. 2.