Description: This report estimates sex-specific trends in HIPAA ADL disability between 1984 and 2004 using the National Long Term Care Survey (NLTCS); estimates age-standardized 20-year changes in ADL and cognitive impairment (CI) among the U.S. elderly using the HIPAA CI trigger; estimates the joint distribution of cognitive impairment (CI) and ADL disability among aged Medicare enrollees using the HIPAA disability triggers.

Description: This paper develops a parametric model for health care insurance claims to fit parametric models to the data. Model selection is based on the ChJ-squared goodness-of-fit test and a comparison of the empirical limited expected value function to parametric limited expected value functions. A copula function was used to model the bivariate portion of the data. From Actuarial Research Clearing House 1993, VOL. 3.

Description: This is the sixth Intercompany Study of Long–Term Care Insurance. This report combines and analyzes data received from 35 insurers. Available data was collected on policies issued between January 1, 1984 and December 31, 2007. Claims incurred on policies during this same timeframe were followed from claim inception through the earlier of claim termination or June 30, 2008.

Description: Accurate forecasts of future health care expenditures for cohorts of elderly individuals can be especially difficult. Current techniques use average per capita costs, based on local experience, adjusted for the cohort's age, sex, institutionalization, and welfare status distribution. This paper presents a method to adjust such per capita cost estimates to reflect more accurately the likely health status of a particular cohort. The adjustment uses the cause-of-mortality profile in the local population, which is a readily available tabulation known to be highly correlated with a major proportion of total medical care expenditures for people beyond age 65. From Transactions of Society of Actuaries 1984, Vol. 36.

Description: Health and Health Care Inequalities: Research Challenges and Considerations for Future Research

Description: A study of whether tobacco, area and industry rating in one state may be reflecting unintended factors such as race, ethnicity or socioeconomic status. This study does not consider whether the rating factors accurately reflect underlying claims costs.

Description: This final report is a SOA Task Force response to a NAIC request to develop valuation recommendations for long-term care insurance. Two basic sets of tables are provided: one for institutional benefits [nursing home] and one for noninstitutional benefits [home health care]. From Transactions of Society of Actuaries 1995, Vol. 47.

Description: This research report that provides a literature survey of methodologies applying machine learning to insurance claim modeling.

Description: This report provides a thorough educational resource that can be used by health actuaries and others to help explain various types of provider payment and risk arrangements.

Description: This research report is sponsored by The Society of Actuaries and the Canadian Institute of Actuaries on the Canadian health care system. Performed by Stéphane Levert, FSA, FCIA, the study (available in French and English) estimated the future costs of the Canadian health care system, assessed the sustainability of the system over a 25-year horizon, and analyzed the implications of the changes to the Canada Health Transfer proposed on Dec. 19, 2011 by the federal government. The report summarizing the findings indicates that, without significant government intervention, the Canadian health care system in its current form is not sustainable.