Description: This is a presentation from 43rd Actuarial Research Conference ARC, Regina, August 14–16, 2008. This talk will present the moment generating function of the discounted compound Poisson aggregate sums when the deflated claims are PH distributed and moment generating function of the discounted compound renewal sums.

Description: As the Valuation Manual continues to evolve and PBR standards for additional products are drafted and incorporated, it will become increasingly important for companies to understand where the requirements are consistent across products, as well as how they differ. This session will scan the life (VM-20) and annuity (VM-21, VM-22) PBR standards across the Valuation Manual to compare and contrast key requirements. Attendees will understand where common methods and techniques can be used across products and platforms. Attendees will also be better positioned to consider assumption and margin setting, asset and derivative modeling, and model efficiency techniques for all types of principles-based valuations. Additionally, this session will profile specific challenges that can arise when actuaries use models to project PBR reserves at future dates for internal planning, pricing, and projections across life and annuity businesses.

Description: This is a discussion of the paper, New Possibilities in Graduation by Kingsland Camp. From Transactions of Society of Actuaries 1955, Vol. 7, No. 19.

Description: Presenter, an actuary with an advanced degree in statistics, provides some simple tools and guidelines – without complex formulas – about the distribution of a conditional tail expectation, how to draw correct inferences from the results of stochastic testing, and the uses and pitfalls of linear regression analyses. Session 24TS of the 2005 Valuation Actuary Symposium.

Description: This session from the 1984 SOA Toronto Meeting discusses a nontechnical introduction to Applied Statistics and Operations Research, practical applications and examples for financial reporting and asset management and an overview of the potential use in actuarial applications of these management tools. From Record of the Society of Actuaries Vol. 10, No. 4B

Description: Techniques that have gained some traction in general (property/casualty) insurance will be highlighted with a particular focus on the linear mixed model. This model adds random effects to the more commonly seen fixed effects (for example, as used in GLMs).

Description: From a session at a meeting of the Society of Actuaries held in San Diego, CA, June 22-23, 2000 The panel discussion covered: · The basic concepts underlying fuzzy logic · Current applications to risk classification and pricing · Possible future uses of fuzzy logic · The basic concepts underlying neural networks · Current applications of neural networks in life insurance · Possible future uses of neural networks

Description: In Medicaid rate development, actuaries have not historically shared models that developed the margin (i.e., underwriting gain) assumption. This is unfortunate, given the margin assumption is one of the most critical components of the rate development in ensuring financial solvency of the Medicaid managed care organizations (MCOs). In this session, we will discuss the primary components of the this assumption and will share working models that help actuaries quantify these components—including the cost of capital and risk (or contingency) margin. We expect a lively discussion as we “open the black box” and discuss these actuarial assumptions in the public for the first time.

Description: 1996 Valuation Actuary Symposium. In this teaching session on liability modeling, the panelists discussed the key aspects of identifying and gathering the data required to construct models, the model building process including objectives and considerations, and the modeling process from the standpoint of policyholder and company behaviors.

Description: 1996 Valuation Actuary Symposium. This session about asset modeling discussed securities with options and derivatives, corporate government debt, mortgage-backed securities, collateralized mortgage obligations, real estate equities, and investment and disinvestment strategies.