Description: Using the Cox proportional Hazards Model to improve underwriting debits and credits.

Description: Discussion of a direct writer survey and a reinsurer survey conducted in the fall of 2002 by the Society of Actuaries. The surveys asked a number of questions about underwriting criteria needed to qualify for preferred risk. They also asked questions about the percentage of issues in each underwriting category and the mortality assumptions for the different categories.

Description: The effect on mortality of the reduction in smoking and the increase obesity in the U.S. is estimated based on historical and projected patterns.

Description: Today, a plethora of tools and approaches exist to develop lifetime projections of long-term care (LTC) business. Within these tools lie two distinct approaches to project mortality; namely, by using assumptions that are applied: (1) to an all-lives exposure base, or (2) separately for disabled- versus active-lives exposure bases. Using disabled versus active mortality allows for more granular modeling of the two different cohorts that exhibit dramatically different mortality. And so, when using an all-lives mortality assumption, is the projection missing important details about the appropriate mortality level? This article seeks to not only answer this question, but also answer how a “traditional” all-lives mortality assumption can be impacted when you introduce a combination of the two modeling techniques into the development of a mortality assumption. To answer these questions, we examined the experience and results developed from one c ompany as an illustrative case study.

Description: State regulators' review of predominant LTC Risks after review of year-end AG51 reports.

Description: This article discusses the utilization of credibility concepts to reinsurer-cedant moratality analysis.

Description: These are submitted discussion papers on the paper, 'Annuity Mortality' by Walter G. Bowerman.

Description: These are discussion papers on the paper, 'The ELAS Life Income Mortality Table' by Harry Walker. That paper describes the derivation of the ELAS Life Income Mortality Table, which has been adopted by the Equitable Life Assurance Society as the mortality basis for the life income option of the modes of settlement in its current series of policy forms and for the calculation of premiums under currently issued individual deferred annuity contracts.

Description: Discussion of the development of a new Preneed Valuation Mortality Table

Description: Discussion the issues/difficulties associated with setting mortality assumptions for the later durations of life insurance illustrations. Because some UL products incorporate low cost of insurance charges in late durations as part of the current scale in the product design, some conclude that mortality improvement assumptions are being employed in the disciplined current scale, in violation of the Model Illustrations Regulation.