Description: This paper presents a health status transition model developed as part of a larger LTC insurance pricing model. From The Old-Age Crisis - Actuarial Opportunities - The 1996 Bowles Symposium, M-RS99-1.

Description: Logistic-type models for the force of mortality like those introduced by Perks or Kannisto provide better fit to mortality data of people aged over 85 than Makeham’s model where the force of mortality increases exponentially with age. However, the difficulty in estimating their parameters by the maximum likelihood method makes their use less popular among actuaries. For Kannisto’s model, this paper proposes a weighted least-squares estimator which can easily be calculated with any regression software. The estimator is shown to be consistent, asymptotically unbiased and normally distributed. For Perks’ model, using a Taylor’s series expansion, the estimation problem is again reduced to a least-squares problem. The various estimators proposed in the paper are compared numerically using Canadian mortality data.

Description: This is the How Amending Old Age Security Would improve the State of Canadian Women Living in the Alone Stage of Retirement abstract authored by Lori J. Curtis and Douglas W. Andrews for Session 5B of the January 13-15, 2020 Living to 100 Symposium in Orlando, Florida.

Description: Expert discussion of several previous papers. From The Future of Pension Plan Funding and Disclosure Monograph, M-RS05-1.

Description: This paper reviews the main methodological questions underlying the theoretical pricing of catastrophe insurance futures. From Securitization of Insurance Risk: The 1995 Bowles Symposium, M-FI978-1.

Description: 2011 SOA Enterprise Risk Management Symposium, Chicago. This is the abstract of the entitled paper.

Description: Catastrophic insurance futures are being traded, albeit thinly, at the Chicago Board of Trade. This paper examines the broad context for trading insurance risk. The motivation for trading insurance risks, specifically to increase the capacity to cover risk, is discussed. From Securitization of Insurance Risk: The 1995 Bowles Symposium, M-FI97-1.

Description: In this paper we present a large-scale study of the Medicare Part B mortality experience over the entire decade of the 1990's based on the Social Security Administration's Master Beneficiary Record, and featuring an extensive effort to edit the microdata, particularly by comparison with other data files.

Description: This paper describes methods for determining bounds on the price of derivative instruments, such as option on insurance futures, given only market information. From Securitization of Insurance Risk: The 1995 Bowles Symposium, M-FI97-1.

Description: 2011 Enterprise Risk Management Symposium, Chicago. This is the abstract of the entitled paper.