Description: This is the final report of the Committee to Recommend New Disability Tables for Valuation. The report proposes valuation standards to the National Association of Insurance Commissioners NAIC for group long-term disability income insurance products GLTD. From Transactions of Society of Actuaries 1987, Vol. 39.

Description: An update of selected key graphs from the Key Statistics section of previous COVID-19 briefs.

Description: A Brief covering the impact of COVID-19 on mental health.

Description: Healthcare costs have been rising faster than general inflation for many years. Early models that predicted this past pattern projected healthcare expenditure growth that continued to outpace total expenditure growth leading to the fallacious position that the whole of the US economy would ultimately be consumed by healthcare. The Society of Actuaries' Pension Section and Health Section Research teams commissioned Professor Thomas E. Getzen of Temple University to construct a resource model for the projection of long term healthcare cost trends that includes capacity constraints to ensure the long-term projection is rational. The motivation for creation of the model was driven by its potential usage as a resource for the estimation of reportable liabilities for retiree healthcare benefits as specified under FAS 106 and GASB 45 accounting statements. This is a zip file containing the following: 1. A background paper on the creation of the health trend model, 2. The model, programmed in Microsoft Excel [xls format], that projects per-person expenditures and growth rates through 2099 using baseline assumptions, but also permits the flexibility for user–inputted alternative assumptions, and 3. Technical documentation providing transparency and support for the ultimate results.

Description: A study of whether tobacco, area and industry rating in one state may be reflecting unintended factors such as race, ethnicity or socioeconomic status. This study does not consider whether the rating factors accurately reflect underlying claims costs.

Description: A divisive confrontation over health care pricing is almost inevitable over the next few years. What will ultimately happen is a political decision, not an actuarial one—but it will have major consequences for the trend in health care costs and the divergence between public and private insurance premiums.

Description: This paper examines the adjustment of premiums under guaranteed renewable health insurance policies. From Transactions of Society of Actuaries 1960, Vol. 12, No. 34.

Description: This paper develops a formal framework to model the behavior of individual and small group health insurance policies in a competitive market. In this framework, anti-selective lapse is not assumed, but arises as a result of rational consumers seeking the best value in a competitive market where the premium rates are restricted by law. The authors obtain a model that addresses a number of fundamental questions which have not been fully answered previously, including the effect of price-induced anti-selective lapse on the mix of insureds in a block and the optimal renewal price to maximize the aggregate profit of a block.

Description: This paper deals with credibility as applied to group insurance, where the problem is to estimate the future claim rate of a group as a function of both its own past claim rate and the average claim rate observed for similar groups.

Description: There is some reason to believe that the trend of life companies entering the A & S business will continue. Both the public and the government are becoming increasingly aware of the need and desirability for the widest possible coverage against the loss of income because of disability and against the cost of medical care. This should lead to an expansion of the market for A & S insurance which should attract still other companies to the field in the future. Followed by several discussion papers submitted